The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Kiekko-Espoo v Ässät

Kickoff: 2026-03-24 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kiekko-Espoo (Local)

Prediction 65.38%1.53fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.846%
Kelly -2.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.70%65.29%65.40%66.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.451.441.5169.93%68.83%69.44%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ässät (Visit)

Prediction 34.62%2.89fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.467%
Kelly -0.719%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.49%34.71%34.60%36.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.712.752.8538.46%36.84%36.36%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kiekko-Espoo (Local): 65.38%; Ässät (Visit): 34.62%. For Kiekko-Espoo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.53. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.51, with an expected value of -1.28%; they did not produce positive expected value.

18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -1.28%E -0.846%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -8.25%E -3.11%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-24 10:44
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.59%E -1.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.52%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 16:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.99%E -3.84%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-24 10:44
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-24 14:19
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.33%E -0.467%K -0.719%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-24 14:24
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.33%E -0.467%K -0.719%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-24 14:24
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 14:19
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.85%E -4.07%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-24 15:50
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.85%E -4.07%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-24 15:54
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.85%E -4.07%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-24 15:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.85%E -4.07%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-24 15:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.85%E -4.07%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.99%E -3.84%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-24 07:15
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.85%E -4.07%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.99%E -3.84%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-24 07:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.85%E -4.07%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.99%E -3.84%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-24 07:14
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.85%E -4.07%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.99%E -3.84%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-24 07:24
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.13%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -1.68%E -0.590%K -0.911%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 16:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%3.3%2026-03-24 16:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 65.26%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.74%3.5%2026-03-24 16:05
Smarkets◎1.41I 70.92%NM 65.36%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.64%8.5%2026-03-24 16:20

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (18)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.38%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%2.9%2026-03-24 09:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.65%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%3.0%2026-03-24 14:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.65%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%3.0%2026-03-24 14:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.65%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%3.0%2026-03-24 14:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%5.4%2026-03-24 10:44
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.82%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.02%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%6.2%2026-03-24 15:49
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%6.7%2026-03-24 14:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%6.7%2026-03-24 14:19
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%6.7%2026-03-24 14:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%6.7%2026-03-24 14:19
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%7.2%2026-03-24 10:45
LeoVegas🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.26%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%9.6%2026-03-24 14:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%11.0%2026-03-24 10:44
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.38%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%11.2%2026-03-24 10:45
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%12.2%2026-03-24 10:44
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 50.89%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.59%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.52%14.9%2026-03-24 16:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 51.45%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.80%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.75%15.7%2026-03-24 10:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 50.81%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.48%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%17.2%2026-03-24 16:03