預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Kärpät v Sport

2026-09-19 14:00 UTC — Liiga

獨贏

13 家博彩公司 (6 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Kärpät (主隊)

預測 72.90%1.37公平賠率
EV -0.125%
優勢 -0.092%
Kelly -0.339%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.37

博彩公司預測分布
70.02%72.76%72.92%74.95%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.271.301.301.3778.74%76.83%76.92%72.99%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Sport (客隊)

預測 27.10%3.69公平賠率
EV +2.98%
優勢 +0.783%
Kelly +1.06%
成長率 +0.032%

假設最高賠率為 3.80

博彩公司預測分布
25.05%27.24%27.08%29.98%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.203.483.503.8031.25%28.77%28.57%26.32%最小值平均值中位數最大值

對於獨贏,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)估計各選項的機率為:Kärpät (主隊):72.90%;Sport (客隊):27.10%。 對於「Sport (客隊)」,該估計相當於3.69的公平十進位賠率。 有3家博彩公司提供高於該水準的賠率;目前最佳賠率為3.80,因此產生+2.98%的正期望值。

有 15 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同(3 個賽果,而分析採用 2 個賽果)。由於存在這項差異,解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (13 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -7.42%E -5.84%K -27.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +2.98%E +0.783%K +1.06%G +0.032%5.1%2026-09-17 21:30
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -7.42%E -5.84%K -27.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +2.98%E +0.783%K +1.06%G +0.032%5.1%2026-09-17 21:30
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -7.42%E -5.84%K -27.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +2.98%E +0.783%K +1.06%G +0.032%5.1%2026-09-17 21:30
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.43%EV -7.42%E -5.84%K -27.46%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.57%EV -4.88%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 18:25
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.23%E -4.02%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-17 18:20
Betsson🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.23%E -4.02%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-17 21:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.23%E -4.02%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-17 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.23%E -4.02%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-17 18:20
theScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.23%E -4.02%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-17 21:25
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.96%E -4.62%K -20.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-17 18:20
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.22%EV -0.125%E -0.092%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78%EV -12.47%E -3.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 02:40
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -0.125%E -0.092%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -13.28%E -4.15%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-17 20:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -4.50%E -3.43%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -13.28%E -4.15%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-17 21:25
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Smarkets1.28I 78.13%NM 70.78%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%10.4%2026-09-17 21:25

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (15)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同,因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同,因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司選項 1選項 2選項 3利潤率 ▲更新時間
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.70%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.28%3.2%2026-09-17 21:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.70%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.28%3.2%2026-09-17 21:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.70%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.28%3.2%2026-09-17 21:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.39%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%5.8%2026-09-17 21:25
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.71%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.48%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%6.3%2026-09-17 21:14
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.24%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.34%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%6.4%2026-09-17 21:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.24%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.34%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%6.4%2026-09-17 21:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.24%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.34%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%6.4%2026-09-17 21:35
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.24%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.34%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%6.4%2026-09-17 21:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%8.9%2026-09-17 23:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.67%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%10.6%2026-09-17 21:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.41%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.36%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.23%11.1%2026-09-17 21:23
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.14%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.41%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%12.9%2026-09-17 21:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 59.43%4.35I 22.99%NM 19.81%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.76%16.1%2026-09-17 21:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 58.95%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.27%20.3%2026-09-17 21:25
套利(6 種組合) +0.70%NordicBet 1.37 (73.5%) / BetRivers 3.80 (26.5%)顯示全部 6 種組合
Kärpät (主隊)Sport (客隊)利潤率
NordicBet🎯 1.37 (73.5%)BetRivers🎯 3.80 (26.5%)+0.696%
NordicBet🎯 1.37 (73.5%)Bally Bet🎯 3.80 (26.5%)+0.696%
NordicBet🎯 1.37 (73.5%)betPARX🎯 3.80 (26.5%)+0.696%
DraftKings🎯 1.37 (73.5%)BetRivers🎯 3.80 (26.5%)+0.696%
DraftKings🎯 1.37 (73.5%)Bally Bet🎯 3.80 (26.5%)+0.696%
DraftKings🎯 1.37 (73.5%)betPARX🎯 3.80 (26.5%)+0.696%