Language:English
Kärpät v KooKoo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kärpät (Local)
Prediction 27.97%3.58fair odd
EV +0.683%
Edge +0.190%
Kelly +0.263%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.60%27.88%27.97%30.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.383.403.6032.79%29.54%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
KooKoo (Visit)
Prediction 49.44%2.02fair odd
EV +0.365%
Edge +0.180%
Kelly +0.354%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.80%49.44%49.44%53.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.831.832.0360.24%54.76%54.64%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.59%4.43fair odd
EV +1.66%
Edge +0.370%
Kelly +0.475%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.04%22.68%22.59%23.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.834.264.314.5026.11%23.46%23.17%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kärpät (Local): 27.97%; KooKoo (Visit): 49.44%; Draw: 22.59%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.43. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.66%.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV +0.683%E +0.190%K +0.263%G +0.002% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -7.05%E -3.75%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%EV +1.66%E +0.370%K +0.475%G +0.008% | 3.2% | 2026-03-04 14:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV +0.683%E +0.190%K +0.263%G +0.002% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -7.05%E -3.75%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%EV +1.66%E +0.370%K +0.475%G +0.008% | 3.2% | 2026-03-04 14:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV +0.683%E +0.190%K +0.263%G +0.002% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -7.05%E -3.75%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%EV +1.66%E +0.370%K +0.475%G +0.008% | 3.2% | 2026-03-04 14:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -6.31%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -15.95%E -9.38%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV +1.66%E +0.370%K +0.475%G +0.008% | 10.9% | 2026-03-04 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -2.11%E -0.604%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -9.52%E -5.20%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -1.73%E -0.397%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 14:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -2.11%E -0.604%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -9.52%E -5.20%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -1.73%E -0.397%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 14:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -2.11%E -0.604%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -9.52%E -5.20%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -1.73%E -0.397%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 14:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -2.11%E -0.604%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -9.52%E -5.20%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -1.73%E -0.397%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 14:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.05%EV -12.46%E -3.98%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -3.59%E -1.84%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -2.18%E -0.503%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 15:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -4.91%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.72%EV -5.07%E -2.64%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -2.86%E -0.664%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 14:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -4.91%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -11.01%E -6.11%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.11%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-04 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -4.91%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.35%EV -12.00%E -6.74%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -5.11%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-04 14:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.10%EV -10.50%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.25%EV -17.93%E -10.80%K -27.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.65%EV -5.11%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-03-04 14:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -7.71%E -2.34%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.25%EV -16.94%E -10.08%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.15%EV -6.24%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-04 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.54%EV -4.91%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.80%EV +0.365%E +0.180%K +0.354%G +0.001% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%EV -7.37%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-04 11:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.71%E -2.34%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -7.55%E -4.04%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.63%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-04 14:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.50%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -9.52%E -5.20%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -9.63%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-04 14:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.77%EV -14.70%E -4.82%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 50.12%EV -16.45%E -9.73%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 22.11%EV -13.47%E -3.52%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-03-04 14:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98% | 3.1% | 2026-03-04 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98% | 3.1% | 2026-03-04 15:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 14:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 15:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 14:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 14:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 14:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 14:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 13:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 14:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 13:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 13:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 14:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 15:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.31% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.69% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 13:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 13:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34% | 8.4% | 2026-03-03 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34% | 8.4% | 2026-03-03 21:35 |