语言:简体中文
Kärpät v HIFK
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Kärpät (主队)
预测 49.18%2.03公平赔率
EV -0.656%
优势 -0.325%
Kelly -0.643%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.02
博彩公司预测分布
47.12%48.97%49.15%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.911.912.0254.64%52.34%52.36%49.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
HIFK (客队)
预测 50.82%1.97公平赔率
EV -2.93%
优势 -1.54%
Kelly -3.22%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.91
博彩公司预测分布
50.00%51.03%50.85%52.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.861.871.9155.56%53.73%53.48%52.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Kärpät (主队)：49.18%；HIFK (客队)：50.82%。 对于“Kärpät (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.03。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.02，期望值为-0.656%，未产生正期望值。
有 16 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -0.656%E -0.325%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -8.52%E -4.74%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 11:03 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -0.656%E -0.325%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -8.52%E -4.74%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 11:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.97%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 11:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.59%E -2.37%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.97%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 11:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.08%E -2.63%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.95%E -2.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 11:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.08%E -2.63%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.97%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 11:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.08%E -2.63%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.97%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 11:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.08%E -2.63%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.97%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 11:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 06:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 07:33 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 06:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 06:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.03%E -4.30%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.97%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 06:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -9.02%E -4.87%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.00%E -3.83%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 06:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -9.02%E -4.87%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.00%E -3.83%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 06:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -9.02%E -4.87%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.00%E -3.83%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 06:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -9.02%E -4.87%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.00%E -3.83%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 06:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.00%E -5.46%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.00%E -3.83%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 06:30 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38% | 1.3% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38% | 1.3% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.60% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.40% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 06:30 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (16)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.38% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.39% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.23% | 3.0% | 2026-03-14 10:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64% | 3.2% | 2026-03-14 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64% | 3.2% | 2026-03-14 11:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64% | 3.2% | 2026-03-14 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.80% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.18% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 06:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 11:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 11:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.95% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.72% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 14:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 06:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.74% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 13:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.32% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.24% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44% | 9.4% | 2026-03-14 11:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.33% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.16% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52% | 11.0% | 2026-03-14 06:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.24% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.11% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.64% | 16.2% | 2026-03-14 06:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 37.77% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 38.62% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 23.62% | 16.6% | 2026-03-14 14:36 |