The School of Odds
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KalPa v Pelicans

2026-10-17 14:00 UTC — Liiga

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KalPa (Local)

Prediction 52.79%1.89fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -4.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.36%52.84%52.76%53.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.801.801.8356.50%55.50%55.56%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pelicans (Visit)

Prediction 47.21%2.12fair odd
EV -3.69%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -3.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.46%47.16%47.24%47.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.012.002.0450.00%49.79%50.00%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: KalPa (Local): 52.79%; Pelicans (Visit): 47.21%. For KalPa (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.83, with an expected value of -3.39%; they do not produce positive expected value.

16 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.39%E -1.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.64%E -2.30%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-16 20:29
DraftKings🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.92%E -2.15%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.64%E -2.30%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-16 20:25
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.92%E -2.15%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-16 20:25
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.92%E -2.15%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-16 20:25
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.92%E -2.15%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-16 20:24
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.98%E -2.76%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.64%E -2.30%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 20:25
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.98%E -2.76%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-16 19:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.98%E -2.76%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-16 19:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.98%E -2.76%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-16 19:59
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -6.56%E -3.71%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -3.69%E -1.81%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 20:40
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.56%E -3.71%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-16 20:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.56%E -3.71%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-16 20:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-10-17 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-10-17 00:15
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 52.62%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.38%10.5%2026-10-16 20:25

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (16)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.14%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%2.5%2026-10-16 20:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.14%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%2.5%2026-10-16 20:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.14%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%2.5%2026-10-16 20:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.18%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.97%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%5.9%2026-10-16 20:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%5.9%2026-10-16 20:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%5.9%2026-10-16 20:24
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%5.9%2026-10-16 20:24
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%5.9%2026-10-16 20:25
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.26%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.21%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.53%6.8%2026-10-16 20:34
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%8.6%2026-10-16 22:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.77%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%8.8%2026-10-16 21:05
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%10.7%2026-10-16 20:23
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.34%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%11.2%2026-10-16 20:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.83%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%11.3%2026-10-16 20:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.84%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.16%16.6%2026-10-16 20:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.12%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.10%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.78%18.7%2026-10-16 20:25