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KalPa v Kiekko-Espoo

Kickoff: 2026-02-24 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KalPa (Local)

Prediction 38.84%2.57fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.527%
Kelly -0.869%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.02%39.09%38.84%40.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.372.402.5445.45%42.18%41.67%39.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kiekko-Espoo (Visit)

Prediction 36.83%2.71fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.760%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.95%36.69%36.83%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.512.552.6643.48%39.86%39.22%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.32%4.11fair odd
EV -0.277%
Edge -0.067%
Kelly -0.089%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.01%24.23%24.32%25.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.873.954.1028.99%25.84%25.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KalPa (Local): 38.84%; Kiekko-Espoo (Visit): 36.83%; Draw: 24.32%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.11. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.10, with an expected value of -0.277%; they did not produce positive expected value.

19 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 38.12%EV -1.34%E -0.527%K -0.869%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.40%EV -2.02%E -0.760%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.48%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-24 10:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.25%EV -3.67%E -1.48%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.01%EV -3.13%E -1.19%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.74%EV -0.277%E -0.067%K -0.089%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-24 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.25%EV -3.67%E -1.48%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.01%EV -3.13%E -1.19%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.74%EV -0.277%E -0.067%K -0.089%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-24 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.25%EV -3.67%E -1.48%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.01%EV -3.13%E -1.19%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.74%EV -0.277%E -0.067%K -0.089%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-24 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.86%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -2.71%E -0.677%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 13:00
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -6.78%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -3.93%E -0.994%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -6.78%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -3.93%E -0.994%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 13:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -6.78%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -3.93%E -0.994%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 13:45
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -6.78%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -3.93%E -0.994%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 13:45
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.78%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -7.91%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -8.79%E -2.34%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-24 13:00
1xBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.75%EV -8.33%E -3.53%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.08%EV -6.81%E -2.69%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.16%EV -1.49%E -0.369%K -0.489%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-24 16:25
LeoVegas🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.30%EV -9.50%E -4.08%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.92%EV -8.65%E -3.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -6.36%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-24 13:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.13%EV -10.66%E -4.64%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -11.60%E -4.83%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -6.36%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-24 13:00
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -10.66%E -4.64%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -7.91%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.44%E -3.46%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-24 16:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.90%EV -12.60%E -5.60%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -2.71%E -0.677%K -0.903%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-24 12:59
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.28%EV -12.60%E -5.60%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.45%EV -15.28%E -6.64%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.26%EV -13.65%E -3.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%16.1%2026-02-24 16:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.02%EV -12.60%E -5.60%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.19%EV -15.28%E -6.64%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.79%EV -16.09%E -4.66%K -6.57%G +0.000%16.9%2026-02-24 16:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.07%EV -14.55%E -6.61%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.37%EV -15.28%E -6.64%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.55%EV -11.22%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%16.3%2026-02-24 13:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (19)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%4.6%2026-02-24 13:00
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%4.7%2026-02-24 13:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%4.7%2026-02-24 15:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%4.7%2026-02-24 15:45
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%4.7%2026-02-24 16:04
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%4.7%2026-02-24 15:45
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%4.8%2026-02-24 16:25
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%5.3%2026-02-24 16:25
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%5.3%2026-02-24 16:25
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%5.9%2026-02-24 13:45
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%5.9%2026-02-24 13:45
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%5.9%2026-02-24 13:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%7.0%2026-02-24 12:59
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%7.0%2026-02-24 14:35
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%7.9%2026-02-24 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%8.7%2026-02-24 12:59
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%8.7%2026-02-24 13:00
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%8.7%2026-02-24 12:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%8.7%2026-02-24 12:59