语言:简体中文
KalPa v Jukurit
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
KalPa (主队)
预测 59.33%1.69公平赔率
EV -3.29%
优势 -2.02%
Kelly -5.22%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.63
博彩公司预测分布
57.90%59.38%59.21%61.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.451.551.541.6368.97%64.71%64.94%61.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
Jukurit (客队)
预测 20.14%4.97公平赔率
EV +3.72%
优势 +0.722%
Kelly +0.896%
增长率 +0.033%
假设最高赔率为 5.15
博彩公司预测分布
18.85%19.99%20.34%21.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.674.705.1525.00%21.43%21.28%19.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 20.53%4.87公平赔率
EV +0.598%
优势 +0.122%
Kelly +0.153%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 4.90
博彩公司预测分布
19.54%20.62%20.45%21.58%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.634.604.9023.81%21.61%21.74%20.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：KalPa (主队)：59.33%；Jukurit (客队)：20.14%；平局：20.53%。 对于“Jukurit (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.97。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.15，对应+3.72%的正期望值。
有 18 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.57%EV -3.29%E -2.02%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.85%EV +3.72%E +0.722%K +0.896%G +0.033% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-04 11:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.18%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%EV +0.697%E +0.139%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.60%EV +0.598%E +0.122%K +0.153%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 11:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.18%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%EV +0.697%E +0.139%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.60%EV +0.598%E +0.122%K +0.153%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 11:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.18%EV -6.85%E -4.36%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%EV +0.697%E +0.139%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.60%EV +0.598%E +0.122%K +0.153%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 11:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.63%E -5.60%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -3.33%E -0.694%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -1.45%E -0.303%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 11:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.63%E -5.60%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -3.33%E -0.694%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -1.45%E -0.303%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 11:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.63%E -5.60%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -3.33%E -0.694%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -1.45%E -0.303%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 11:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.63%E -5.60%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -3.33%E -0.694%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -1.45%E -0.303%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 11:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.47%EV -9.82%E -6.46%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -5.34%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -5.56%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 13:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.56%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.41%EV -7.16%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -3.51%E -0.746%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.26%E -3.96%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.36%EV -7.36%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.36%EV -5.56%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 12:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.07%EV -13.97%E -9.64%K -31.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -7.36%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.68%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-04 11:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -9.37%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 12:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.55%EV -8.63%E -5.60%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -12.39%E -2.85%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -10.69%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-04 12:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.13%EV -9.82%E -6.46%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.90%EV -13.40%E -3.12%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.97%EV -7.61%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-04 12:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.42%EV -9.22%E -6.03%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.79%EV -13.40%E -3.12%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.79%EV -11.72%E -2.73%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 57.90%EV -11.60%E -7.78%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.57%EV -19.44%E -4.86%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.54%EV -13.77%E -3.28%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-09-04 12:54 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (18)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.22% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78% | 4.0% | 2026-09-04 09:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 12:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 11:18 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 10:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 10:53 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 10:53 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 09:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.07% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.93% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 12:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 12:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 12:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 12:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |