KalPa v Ilves

开赛时间： 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

17 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

44%

56%

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

KalPa (主队)

预测 44.06%2.27公平赔率

EV -0.426%

优势 -0.188%

Kelly -0.338%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.26

博彩公司预测分布

42.20%43.98%44.16%45.45%MIN均值中位数MAX

赔率分布

2.052.122.102.2648.78%47.08%47.62%44.25%MIN均值中位数MAX

Ilves (客队)

预测 55.94%1.79公平赔率

EV -2.10%

优势 -1.20%

Kelly -2.81%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.75

博彩公司预测分布

54.55%56.02%55.84%57.80%MIN均值中位数MAX

赔率分布

1.651.711.711.7560.61%58.40%58.48%57.14%MIN均值中位数MAX

有 19 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle	2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -0.426%E -0.188%K -0.338%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -7.70%E -4.67%K -11.84%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-04-11 13:45
NordicBet	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -0.866%E -0.385%K -0.693%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -6.02%E -3.58%K -8.85%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-04-11 09:30
Betsson	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -0.866%E -0.385%K -0.693%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -6.02%E -3.58%K -8.85%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-04-11 09:30
DraftKings	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.07%E -1.40%K -2.56%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.90%E -2.88%K -7.00%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-04-11 13:55
theScore Bet	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.27%E -2.45%K -4.58%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.66%E -1.53%K -3.60%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-04-11 07:35
BetRivers	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.10%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-04-11 13:44
betPARX	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.66%E -1.53%K -3.60%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-04-11 13:44
Bally Bet	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.66%E -1.53%K -3.60%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-04-11 13:45
888sport	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.22%E -1.86%K -4.41%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-04-11 07:25
William Hill	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.22%E -1.86%K -4.41%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-04-11 07:40
Mr Green (SE)	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.22%E -1.86%K -4.41%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-04-11 07:35
888sport (SE)	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.22%E -1.86%K -4.41%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-04-11 07:35
Hard Rock Bet	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.34%E -2.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-04-11 07:25
Ladbrokes (AU)	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.68%E -4.72%K -9.22%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.90%E -2.88%K -7.00%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-04-09 05:59
Neds	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.68%E -4.72%K -9.22%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.90%E -2.88%K -7.00%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-04-09 06:00
Ladbrokes (UK)	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.68%E -4.72%K -9.22%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.90%E -2.88%K -7.00%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-04-09 05:59
Coral	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.68%E -4.72%K -9.22%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.90%E -2.88%K -7.00%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-04-09 05:59

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Smarkets	2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%	8.0%	2026-04-11 08:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)	2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%	8.4%	2026-04-11 13:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)	2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%	8.4%	2026-04-11 13:35

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (19)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	选项 3	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Coolbet	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.90%	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.18%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.92%	2.9%	2026-04-11 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.92%	2.32I 43.10%NM 41.86%	3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%	3.0%	2026-04-11 13:49
ATG (SE)	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.92%	2.32I 43.10%NM 41.86%	3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%	3.0%	2026-04-11 13:50
Svenska Spel	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.92%	2.32I 43.10%NM 41.86%	3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%	3.0%	2026-04-11 13:50
Unibet (UK)	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.28%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%	6.0%	2026-04-11 08:05
Grosvenor	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%	6.2%	2026-04-11 13:50
Casumo	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%	6.2%	2026-04-11 13:50
Unibet (SE)	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%	6.2%	2026-04-11 13:50
Unibet (NL)	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%	6.2%	2026-04-11 13:50
1xBet	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%	2.11I 47.39%NM 44.61%	3.92I 25.51%NM 24.01%	6.2%	2026-04-11 13:34
LeoVegas	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%	2.18I 45.87%NM 42.09%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%	9.0%	2026-04-11 13:50
Paddy Power	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.29%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%	10.0%	2026-04-11 08:04
Betway	2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%	10.6%	2026-04-11 07:35
Everygame	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.08%	3.65I 27.40%NM 24.76%	10.7%	2026-04-11 13:35
Winamax (DE)	2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%	2.05I 48.78%NM 43.90%	3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%	11.1%	2026-04-11 08:05
PMU (FR)	2.70I 37.04%NM 32.96%	2.12I 47.17%NM 41.98%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.07%	12.4%	2026-04-11 13:50
Winamax (FR)	2.60I 38.46%NM 33.20%	2.00I 50.00%NM 43.16%	3.65I 27.40%NM 23.65%	15.9%	2026-04-11 08:05
Unibet (FR)	2.65I 37.74%NM 32.56%	2.00I 50.00%NM 43.14%	3.55I 28.17%NM 24.30%	15.9%	2026-04-11 13:49
Betclic (FR)	2.63I 38.02%NM 32.50%	2.00I 50.00%NM 42.73%	3.45I 28.99%NM 24.77%	17.0%	2026-04-11 13:36