語言:繁體中文
KalPa v Ilves
收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →
獨贏
KalPa (主隊)
預測 43.42%2.30公平賠率
EV -0.140%
優勢 -0.061%
Kelly -0.108%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 2.30
博彩公司預測分布
41.62%43.51%43.10%45.74%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.102.172.102.3047.62%46.12%47.62%43.48%最小值平均值中位數最大值
Ilves (客隊)
預測 56.58%1.77公平賠率
EV +0.151%
優勢 +0.085%
Kelly +0.196%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 1.77
博彩公司預測分布
54.26%56.49%56.90%58.38%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.631.681.671.7761.35%59.42%59.88%56.50%最小值平均值中位數最大值
依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：KalPa (主隊)：43.42%；Ilves (客隊)：56.58%。 對於「Ilves (客隊)」，該估計相當於1.767的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為1.770，對應+0.151%的正期望值。
有 19 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同（3 個賽果，而分析採用 2 個賽果）。由於存在這項差異，解讀分析結果時應審慎。
博彩公司賠率 (17 家博彩公司)
本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 ▼ | 利潤率 | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +0.151%E +0.085%K +0.196%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-06 13:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.11%E -1.22%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 08:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.11%E -1.22%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 08:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.11%E -1.22%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 09:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.11%E -1.22%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 09:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.31%E -1.03%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.38%E -2.59%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-06 08:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.48%E -2.04%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.94%E -2.94%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-05 09:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 05:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 05:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.31%E -1.03%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 08:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.31%E -1.03%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 08:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -0.140%E -0.061%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.20%E -4.39%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.01%E -0.442%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.77%E -4.77%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.01%E -0.442%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.77%E -4.77%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率
更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07% | 3.1% | 2026-04-06 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 15:00 |
其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (19)
這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同，因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同，因而帶來額外不確定性。
| 博彩公司 | 選項 1 | 選項 2 | 選項 3 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.89% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.55% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.56% | 3.0% | 2026-04-06 12:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.05% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.16% | 3.3% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.05% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.16% | 3.3% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.05% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.16% | 3.3% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.37% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.71% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92% | 4.5% | 2026-04-06 08:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.57% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.19% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.24% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.74% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13% | 10.5% | 2026-04-06 07:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00% | 11.1% | 2026-04-06 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.17% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.89% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94% | 11.4% | 2026-04-06 07:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.98% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26% | 11.7% | 2026-04-06 08:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.22% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.09% | 12.3% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 44.18% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42% | 13.7% | 2026-04-06 08:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.68% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 43.99% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.33% | 14.8% | 2026-04-06 07:57 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.08% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.19% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.73% | 15.5% | 2026-04-06 08:00 |