语言:简体中文
KalPa v HIFK
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
KalPa (主队)
预测 50.95%1.96公平赔率
EV +4.45%
优势 +2.17%
Kelly +4.23%
增长率 +0.188%
假设最高赔率为 2.05
博彩公司预测分布
46.75%50.53%50.98%52.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.861.852.0555.56%53.91%54.05%48.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
HIFK (客队)
预测 49.05%2.04公平赔率
EV -1.90%
优势 -0.949%
Kelly -1.90%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.00
博彩公司预测分布
47.37%49.47%49.02%53.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.921.952.0055.56%52.17%51.28%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：KalPa (主队)：50.95%；HIFK (客队)：49.05%。 对于“KalPa (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.96。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.05，对应+4.45%的正期望值。
有 16 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +4.45%E +2.17%K +4.23%G +0.188% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -11.71%E -6.50%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 10:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.69%E -1.41%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.37%E -1.71%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.37%E -1.71%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.22%E -2.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.50%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.53%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.27%E -4.43%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 14:17 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -5.74%E -3.10%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.24%E -5.59%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -5.74%E -3.10%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.24%E -5.59%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -5.74%E -3.10%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.24%E -5.59%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 10:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -5.74%E -3.10%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.24%E -5.59%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 11:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.76%E -3.70%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.37%E -1.71%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 21:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.76%E -3.70%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.86%E -1.97%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.76%E -3.70%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.86%E -1.97%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-20 22:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.76%E -3.70%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.24%E -5.59%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.29%E -4.61%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.90%E -0.949%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 21:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.29%E -4.61%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.90%E -0.949%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.29%E -4.61%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.90%E -0.949%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.29%E -4.61%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.90%E -0.949%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24% | 1.5% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (16)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.70% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 14:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.01% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.50% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.49% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 11:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.01% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.50% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.49% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 11:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.01% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.50% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.49% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 11:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 14:18 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 10:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 11:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 11:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 11:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.21% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.94% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 14:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.50% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 10:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.42% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.85% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.73% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 11:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.31% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.31% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.22% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.22% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.56% | 16.3% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.97% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 37.47% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 24.55% | 17.0% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |