Language:English
JYP v Tappara
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
JYP (Local)
Prediction 26.07%3.84fair odd
EV +1.68%
Edge +0.430%
Kelly +0.578%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.91%25.94%26.07%28.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.573.633.9031.75%28.02%27.59%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tappara (Visit)
Prediction 51.68%1.93fair odd
EV -4.39%
Edge -2.37%
Kelly -5.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.21%51.82%51.68%53.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.781.771.8558.82%56.13%56.50%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.25%4.49fair odd
EV +0.119%
Edge +0.026%
Kelly +0.034%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.14%22.24%22.25%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.234.304.5026.67%23.65%23.26%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: JYP (Local): 26.07%; Tappara (Visit): 51.68%; Draw: 22.25%. For JYP (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.84. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.68%.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%EV +1.68%E +0.430%K +0.578%G +0.010% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.50%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.59%EV -4.33%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-11 13:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18%EV +0.372%E +0.097%K +0.131%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.27%EV -5.94%E -3.26%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%EV +0.119%E +0.026%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-11 12:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18%EV +0.372%E +0.097%K +0.131%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.27%EV -5.94%E -3.26%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%EV +0.119%E +0.026%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-11 12:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18%EV +0.372%E +0.097%K +0.131%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.27%EV -5.94%E -3.26%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%EV +0.119%E +0.026%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-11 12:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -2.23%E -0.596%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.22%EV -8.53%E -4.82%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.66%EV -3.22%E -0.740%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 12:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -2.23%E -0.596%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.22%EV -8.53%E -4.82%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.66%EV -3.22%E -0.740%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -2.23%E -0.596%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.22%EV -8.53%E -4.82%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.66%EV -3.22%E -0.740%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -2.23%E -0.596%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.22%EV -8.53%E -4.82%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.66%EV -3.22%E -0.740%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 12:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.06%EV -4.84%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.17%EV -11.11%E -6.46%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-11 12:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -4.33%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 16:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -4.33%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-11 16:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-11 16:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.00%EV -12.40%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.86%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.14%EV -0.993%E -0.223%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-11 16:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -12.66%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.43%EV -9.04%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-11 16:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -15.27%E -4.70%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.21%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -13.23%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-11 13:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.78%EV -15.27%E -4.70%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.61%EV -11.11%E -6.46%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.61%EV -14.34%E -3.73%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-11 16:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 26.95%EV -17.36%E -5.47%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.26%EV -12.14%E -7.14%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.79%EV -16.57%E -4.42%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-03-11 16:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.39%EV -17.88%E -5.68%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.76%EV -12.14%E -7.14%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.85%EV -12.12%E -3.07%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-03-11 16:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95% | 3.8% | 2026-03-11 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10% | 3.9% | 2026-03-11 16:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 16:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59% | 4.6% | 2026-03-11 13:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59% | 4.6% | 2026-03-11 13:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 22:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 20:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 20:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 20:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 12:01 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 12:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 12:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 16:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50% | 6.7% | 2026-03-09 07:03 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 09:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 09:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 09:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 09:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.56% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44% | 8.2% | 2026-03-11 16:25 |