The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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JYP v Tappara

Kickoff: 2026-10-28 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

JYP (Local)

Prediction 57.48%1.74fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -3.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.41%57.53%57.69%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.651.651.7062.11%60.65%60.61%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tappara (Visit)

Prediction 42.52%2.35fair odd
EV -2.21%
Edge -0.959%
Kelly -1.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.18%42.47%42.31%43.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.222.252.3046.51%44.96%44.54%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: JYP (Local): 57.48%; Tappara (Visit): 42.52%. For Tappara (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.35. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.30, with an expected value of -2.21%; they did not produce positive expected value.

17 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.28%E -1.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-28 12:50
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.43%E -2.04%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.76%E -2.12%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-28 13:55
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.01%E -2.40%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-28 13:00
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.16%E -3.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.33%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-28 15:45
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.16%E -3.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.33%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-28 11:54
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.16%E -3.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.33%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-28 10:10
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.16%E -3.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.33%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-28 10:09
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.16%E -3.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.33%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-28 10:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.16%E -3.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-28 13:00
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.16%E -3.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.58%E -3.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.16%E -3.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.58%E -3.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.16%E -3.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.58%E -3.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 13:30
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.16%E -3.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.58%E -3.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 13:30
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.46%E -4.63%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.21%E -0.959%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-28 12:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.46%E -4.63%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.21%E -0.959%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-28 12:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.46%E -4.63%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.21%E -0.959%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-28 12:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-10-28 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%4.9%2026-10-28 16:25
Smarkets◎1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09%8.5%2026-10-28 16:25

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (17)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Coolbet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.80%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.66%3.1%2026-10-28 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.69%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.25%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.06%3.2%2026-10-28 10:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.69%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.25%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.06%3.2%2026-10-28 10:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.69%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.25%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.06%3.2%2026-10-28 10:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%6.0%2026-10-28 13:03
1xBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.28%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.03%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.69%6.2%2026-10-28 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%6.9%2026-10-28 10:25
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%6.9%2026-10-28 10:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%6.9%2026-10-28 10:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%8.7%2026-10-28 13:34
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.13%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.74%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%10.5%2026-10-28 13:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.69%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.16%10.7%2026-10-28 13:04
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.68%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%11.1%2026-10-28 10:25
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.89%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.17%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%11.4%2026-10-28 13:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.84%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.07%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.09%12.9%2026-10-28 16:08
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 44.59%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.04%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.38%15.6%2026-10-28 13:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 43.91%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.58%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.51%21.8%2026-10-28 16:19