The School of Odds
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JYP v Pelicans

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

JYP (Local)

Prediction 60.89%1.64fair odd
EV +0.469%
Edge +0.284%
Kelly +0.721%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.23%60.71%60.74%62.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.561.561.6566.23%64.15%64.10%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pelicans (Visit)

Prediction 39.11%2.56fair odd
EV -0.270%
Edge -0.106%
Kelly -0.174%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.19%39.29%39.26%41.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.402.382.5543.48%41.59%42.02%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: JYP (Local): 60.89%; Pelicans (Visit): 39.11%. For JYP (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.64. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.469%.

16 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV +0.469%E +0.284%K +0.721%G +0.003%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -10.05%E -4.37%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 15:45
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -1.97%E -1.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -6.14%E -2.56%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 15:45
NordicBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.40%E -2.80%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.01%E -1.21%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 15:44
Betsson🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.40%E -2.80%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.01%E -1.21%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 15:44
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.40%E -2.80%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.92%E -2.91%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 13:49
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.40%E -2.80%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.92%E -2.91%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 14:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.40%E -2.80%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.92%E -2.91%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 13:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.40%E -2.80%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.92%E -2.91%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 13:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.40%E -2.80%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.09%E -3.44%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 15:44
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.62%E -3.63%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.05%E -4.37%K -7.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 13:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.62%E -3.63%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.05%E -4.37%K -7.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 13:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.62%E -3.63%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.05%E -4.37%K -7.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 13:19
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.62%E -3.63%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.05%E -4.37%K -7.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 13:19
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.84%E -4.47%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.270%E -0.106%K -0.174%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 16:10
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -6.84%E -4.47%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -1.44%E -0.573%K -0.949%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 16:25
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.84%E -4.47%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.92%E -2.91%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 15:45
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.06%E -5.34%K -15.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.270%E -0.106%K -0.174%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 16:10
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.06%E -5.34%K -15.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.270%E -0.106%K -0.174%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 16:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.3%2026-03-20 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%6.0%2026-03-20 16:25
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%8.4%2026-03-20 15:45

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (16)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.25%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.07%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.68%2.6%2026-03-20 16:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.25%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.07%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.68%2.6%2026-03-20 16:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.25%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.07%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.68%2.6%2026-03-20 16:10
Coolbet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.85%3.2%2026-03-20 12:30
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%6.1%2026-03-20 16:15
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%6.8%2026-03-20 16:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%6.8%2026-03-20 16:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%6.8%2026-03-20 16:10
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%6.8%2026-03-20 16:09
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%8.6%2026-03-20 15:50
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%9.6%2026-03-20 16:09
Everygame🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.50%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.73%10.8%2026-03-20 15:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.93%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%11.0%2026-03-20 15:44
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.23%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.81%15.1%2026-03-20 16:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 46.84%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.38%16.0%2026-03-20 15:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 47.19%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.95%3.58I 27.93%NM 23.86%17.1%2026-03-20 16:13