The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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JYP v HPK

Kickoff: 2026-10-22 15:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

JYP (Local)

Prediction 69.63%1.44fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -4.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.03%69.67%69.84%71.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.361.361.4175.76%73.66%73.53%70.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

HPK (Visit)

Prediction 30.37%3.29fair odd
EV +0.537%
Edge +0.162%
Kelly +0.233%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.51%30.33%30.16%31.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.103.103.3133.33%32.29%32.26%30.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: JYP (Local): 69.63%; HPK (Visit): 30.37%. For HPK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.29. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.31, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.537%.

16 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.49%EV -8.09%E -6.13%K -25.29%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.51%EV +0.537%E +0.162%K +0.233%G +0.001%6.0%2026-10-22 15:20
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.22%EV -4.61%E -3.37%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78%EV -1.89%E -0.586%K -0.849%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-22 14:45
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-22 09:35
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-22 09:35
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-22 09:35
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.00%E -4.45%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 14:50
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-22 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-22 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-22 14:45
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -1.83%E -1.30%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-22 15:10
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.92%E -2.84%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-22 15:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-22 15:05
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.00%E -4.45%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-22 09:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.00%E -4.45%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-22 09:31
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.00%E -4.45%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-22 09:29
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.00%E -4.45%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-22 09:31
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.40%E -5.56%K -22.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-22 15:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%2.2%2026-10-22 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%2.2%2026-10-22 15:20
Smarkets◎1.35I 74.07%NM 68.38%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.62%8.3%2026-10-22 15:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (16)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.23%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.43%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.35%3.0%2026-10-22 09:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.54%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%3.0%2026-10-22 09:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.54%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%3.0%2026-10-22 09:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.54%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%3.0%2026-10-22 09:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.13%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%6.2%2026-10-22 15:05
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.18%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.59%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.23%6.3%2026-10-22 14:50
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%7.0%2026-10-22 09:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%7.0%2026-10-22 09:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%7.0%2026-10-22 09:35
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%7.0%2026-10-22 09:35
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.58%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%7.9%2026-10-22 15:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%9.0%2026-10-22 15:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%10.7%2026-10-22 09:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.11%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.27%12.8%2026-10-22 15:08
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 56.92%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.60%15.6%2026-10-22 09:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 55.88%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.35%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.77%19.3%2026-10-22 15:20