The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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JYP v Ässät

Kickoff: 2026-03-17 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

JYP (Local)

Prediction 68.04%1.47fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -8.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.27%68.07%67.84%69.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.391.401.4273.53%71.70%71.43%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ässät (Visit)

Prediction 31.96%3.13fair odd
EV -0.935%
Edge -0.301%
Kelly -0.445%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.49%31.93%32.16%33.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.912.903.1036.36%34.34%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: JYP (Local): 68.04%; Ässät (Visit): 31.96%. For Ässät (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.10, with an expected value of -0.935%; they did not produce positive expected value.

19 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.38%E -2.38%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.13%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-17 14:40
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.38%E -2.38%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.92%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 13:25
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.38%E -2.38%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.92%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 13:25
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.74%E -3.39%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.73%E -1.94%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 16:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.74%E -3.39%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.33%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 11:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.74%E -3.39%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.33%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 11:00
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.74%E -3.39%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.33%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 12:00
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.74%E -3.39%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.33%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 11:00
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.74%E -3.39%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.12%E -4.41%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.74%E -3.39%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.12%E -4.41%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.74%E -3.39%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.12%E -4.41%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 13:45
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.74%E -3.39%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.12%E -4.41%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 13:44
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -5.42%E -3.90%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -0.935%E -0.301%K -0.445%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 13:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.10%E -4.42%K -16.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.92%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 14:39
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.46%E -5.49%K -20.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.935%E -0.301%K -0.445%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 15:00
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.46%E -5.49%K -20.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.935%E -0.301%K -0.445%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 15:00
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.46%E -5.49%K -20.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.935%E -0.301%K -0.445%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 15:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%4.0%2026-03-17 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%4.0%2026-03-17 15:30
Smarkets◎1.45I 68.97%NM 64.72%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.28%6.6%2026-03-17 16:20

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (19)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.90%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.48%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%2.8%2026-03-17 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.90%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.48%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%2.8%2026-03-17 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.90%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.48%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%2.8%2026-03-17 15:00
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.42%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.79%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.79%3.2%2026-03-17 13:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.95%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%5.1%2026-03-17 15:35
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.83%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%6.1%2026-03-17 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.83%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%6.1%2026-03-17 15:00
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.83%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%6.1%2026-03-17 15:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.83%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%6.1%2026-03-17 15:00
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.33%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.00%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.67%6.3%2026-03-17 15:50
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%8.4%2026-03-17 15:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%8.6%2026-03-17 15:40
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%9.4%2026-03-17 15:00
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.26%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%10.4%2026-03-17 16:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.37%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.13%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.50%10.9%2026-03-17 15:35
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%11.8%2026-03-17 15:10
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 54.73%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.75%14.9%2026-03-17 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 55.63%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.47%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.90%16.7%2026-03-17 15:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 55.14%3.68I 27.17%NM 23.22%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.64%17.0%2026-03-17 16:08