The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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JYP v Ässät

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

JYP (Local)

Prediction 58.43%1.71fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -3.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.29%58.45%59.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.631.621.6762.50%61.35%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ässät (Visit)

Prediction 41.57%2.41fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -2.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.82%41.71%41.55%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.252.202.3345.45%44.43%45.45%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: JYP (Local): 58.43%; Ässät (Visit): 41.57%. For JYP (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.71. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.67, with an expected value of -2.42%; they did not produce positive expected value.

16 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.42%E -1.45%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 12:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.42%E -1.45%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.42%E -1.45%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 12:35
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.59%E -2.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 13:25
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.59%E -2.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 12:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.59%E -2.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-24 12:40
NordicBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.17%E -2.54%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.56%E -1.54%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 13:55
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.34%E -3.30%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-24 13:55
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.34%E -3.30%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 12:07
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.34%E -3.30%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-23 10:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.34%E -3.30%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-23 10:20
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.92%E -3.68%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.15%E -1.35%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.92%E -3.68%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-23 07:59
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.92%E -3.68%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-23 08:00
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -6.51%E -4.07%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -3.56%E -1.54%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 09:45
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -6.51%E -4.07%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -3.56%E -1.54%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 09:45
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -6.51%E -4.07%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -3.56%E -1.54%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 09:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%6.3%2026-10-24 13:55
Smarkets◎1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%8.0%2026-10-24 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 36.86%1.01I 99.01%NM 63.14%56.8%2026-10-24 13:55

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (16)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.90%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.42%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.68%3.0%2026-10-23 09:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.90%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.42%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.68%3.0%2026-10-23 09:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.90%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.42%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.68%3.0%2026-10-23 09:45
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.64%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.40%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.96%3.1%2026-10-23 09:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.62%5.9%2026-10-24 12:35
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.32%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.03%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.66%6.4%2026-10-24 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.92%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%6.6%2026-10-23 09:45
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.92%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%6.6%2026-10-23 09:45
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.92%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%6.6%2026-10-23 09:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.92%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%6.6%2026-10-23 09:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%8.7%2026-10-24 12:40
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%8.8%2026-10-24 12:41
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.40%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%11.2%2026-10-24 12:41
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.32%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.57%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.11%12.8%2026-10-24 13:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.10%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.41%15.5%2026-10-24 12:41
Unibet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 44.79%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.10%16.9%2026-10-24 13:49