The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Jukurit v Pelicans

Kickoff: 2026-09-18 15:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jukurit (Local)

Prediction 47.08%2.12fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -2.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.33%47.06%47.11%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.032.052.0750.00%49.25%48.78%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pelicans (Visit)

Prediction 52.92%1.89fair odd
EV -3.16%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -3.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%52.94%52.89%54.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.771.771.8358.82%56.52%56.34%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jukurit (Local): 47.08%; Pelicans (Visit): 52.92%. For Jukurit (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.12. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.07, with an expected value of -2.54%; they did not produce positive expected value.

18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -2.54%E -1.23%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.81%E -3.26%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-18 14:50
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -4.22%E -2.33%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 14:25
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.33%E -3.58%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 14:25
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.33%E -3.58%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 14:25
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.33%E -3.58%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 14:25
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.04%E -5.91%K -14.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-17 06:05
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.04%E -5.91%K -14.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-17 06:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.04%E -5.91%K -14.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-17 06:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.48%E -1.70%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.04%E -5.91%K -14.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-17 06:05
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.90%E -2.42%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.81%E -3.26%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 14:25
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.16%E -1.73%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 09:04
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.16%E -1.73%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 13:35
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-17 07:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-17 07:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.75%E -2.64%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-17 07:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.84%E -2.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.33%E -3.58%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 13:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%8.2%2026-09-18 13:25

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (18)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.04%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%3.1%2026-09-18 10:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.97%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83%3.3%2026-09-18 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.97%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83%3.3%2026-09-18 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.97%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83%3.3%2026-09-18 14:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%6.3%2026-09-18 13:25
1xBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.27%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.88%6.3%2026-09-18 14:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.17%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%6.5%2026-09-18 14:25
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.17%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%6.5%2026-09-18 14:25
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.17%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%6.5%2026-09-18 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.17%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%6.5%2026-09-18 14:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.74%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%8.9%2026-09-18 10:45
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%9.6%2026-09-18 13:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.83%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%11.3%2026-09-18 13:25
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%11.7%2026-09-18 13:24
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.41%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%12.3%2026-09-18 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.75%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.28%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.96%12.8%2026-09-18 15:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%14.0%2026-09-18 15:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.00%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.16%16.6%2026-09-18 13:24