Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 15.00
assuming max odds 1.20
assuming max odds 10.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jukurit (Local): 6.87%; KooKoo (Visit): 81.12%; Draw: 12.01%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.32. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +20.14%.
18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.08%EV -17.58%E -1.46%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.21%EV -4.28%E -3.63%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.70%EV +20.14%E +2.01%K +2.24%G +0.451% | 3.1% | 2026-03-14 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.08%EV -17.58%E -1.46%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.21%EV -4.28%E -3.63%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.70%EV +20.14%E +2.01%K +2.24%G +0.451% | 3.1% | 2026-03-14 13:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.08%EV -17.58%E -1.46%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.21%EV -4.28%E -3.63%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.70%EV +20.14%E +2.01%K +2.24%G +0.451% | 3.1% | 2026-03-14 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -21.01%E -1.83%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -6.72%E -5.84%K -44.77%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +14.13%E +1.49%K +1.66%G +0.235% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 13:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -21.01%E -1.83%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -6.72%E -5.84%K -44.77%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +14.13%E +1.49%K +1.66%G +0.235% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 13:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -21.01%E -1.83%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -6.72%E -5.84%K -44.77%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +14.13%E +1.49%K +1.66%G +0.235% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -21.01%E -1.83%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -6.72%E -5.84%K -44.77%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +14.13%E +1.49%K +1.66%G +0.235% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 13:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -24.44%E -2.22%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -9.15%E -8.17%K -76.24%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV +14.13%E +1.49%K +1.66%G +0.235% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 13:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -24.44%E -2.22%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.49%EV -5.09%E -4.35%K -29.96%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.95%EV +3.32%E +0.386%K +0.437%G +0.015% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -3.84%E -0.274%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.65%EV -9.96%E -8.97%K -90.54%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV +2.12%E +0.249%K +0.283%G +0.006% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 12:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.70%EV -14.14%E -1.13%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.26%EV -2.66%E -2.22%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.04%EV -3.89%E -0.486%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 10:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +3.03%E +0.202%K +0.216%G +0.007% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.68%EV -5.09%E -4.35%K -29.96%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.95%EV -3.89%E -0.486%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-14 13:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.87%EV -21.01%E -1.83%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.07%EV -8.34%E -7.38%K -64.14%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -9.89%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-14 13:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -10.71%E -0.824%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.08%EV -9.96%E -8.97%K -90.54%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -9.89%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-14 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -10.71%E -0.824%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -5.09%E -4.35%K -29.96%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -15.90%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 13:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.66%EV -31.31%E -3.13%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 78.02%EV -9.96%E -8.97%K -90.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.32%EV -21.91%E -3.37%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-03-14 13:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.92%EV -24.44%E -2.22%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 77.80%EV -9.15%E -8.17%K -76.24%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.28%EV -26.71%E -4.38%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.14%EV -27.88%E -2.66%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 77.00%EV -9.96%E -8.97%K -90.54%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 14.86%EV -30.92%E -5.38%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-03-14 14:36 |
| Everygame🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.49%EV -17.58%E -1.46%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.17%EV -4.28%E -3.63%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -33.92%E -6.17%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-14 12:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 13:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 13:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 13:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 13:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 13:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.31I 15.85%NM 14.84% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.16% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 13:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 12:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 12:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.95% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.05% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 13:55 |