The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Jukurit v Kiekko-Espoo

Kickoff: 2026-09-25 15:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jukurit (Local)

Prediction 45.04%2.22fair odd
EV -3.17%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -2.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.16%45.01%44.95%45.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.102.102.1548.78%47.59%47.62%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kiekko-Espoo (Visit)

Prediction 54.96%1.82fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -3.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.26%54.99%55.05%55.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.721.711.7758.82%58.08%58.31%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jukurit (Local): 45.04%; Kiekko-Espoo (Visit): 54.96%. For Kiekko-Espoo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.77, with an expected value of -2.72%; they did not produce positive expected value.

17 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.17%E -1.47%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.37%E -2.51%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-25 12:55
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.17%E -1.47%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.56%E -3.86%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 10:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.17%E -1.47%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.56%E -3.86%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 10:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.17%E -1.47%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.56%E -3.86%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 10:29
Pinnacle🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.62%E -1.69%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.47%E -3.18%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-25 14:55
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.42%E -2.58%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-25 13:00
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.42%E -2.58%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-25 12:50
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.42%E -2.58%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.92%E -2.84%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-25 13:25
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.42%E -2.58%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.92%E -2.84%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-25 13:25
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.42%E -2.58%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.92%E -2.84%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-25 13:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.42%E -2.58%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.01%E -3.52%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-25 12:54
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.32%E -3.04%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.82%E -2.18%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-25 13:00
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.67%E -3.74%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.56%E -3.86%K -9.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-24 06:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.67%E -3.74%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.56%E -3.86%K -9.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-24 06:35
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.67%E -3.74%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.56%E -3.86%K -9.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-24 06:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.67%E -3.74%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.56%E -3.86%K -9.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-24 06:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 45.31%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.69%8.2%2026-09-25 12:55

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (17)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.87%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%3.1%2026-09-25 06:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.02%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%3.5%2026-09-25 13:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.02%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%3.5%2026-09-25 13:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.02%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%3.5%2026-09-25 13:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.94%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.73%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%5.4%2026-09-25 12:55
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.02%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%6.7%2026-09-25 13:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.02%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%6.7%2026-09-25 13:25
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.02%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%6.7%2026-09-25 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.02%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%6.7%2026-09-25 13:25
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%8.5%2026-09-25 10:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.43%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%8.5%2026-09-25 13:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.91%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%11.0%2026-09-25 12:54
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%11.8%2026-09-25 12:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.92%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%12.5%2026-09-25 13:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 33.06%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.75%12.9%2026-09-25 15:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.97%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.94%16.2%2026-09-25 12:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.52%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.74%17.0%2026-09-25 12:55