The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Jukurit v JYP

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jukurit (Local)

Prediction 36.63%2.73fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.47%36.66%36.59%37.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.582.602.6440.00%38.78%38.46%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

JYP (Visit)

Prediction 63.37%1.58fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -1.99%
Kelly -5.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.81%63.34%63.41%64.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.491.501.5369.44%67.00%66.67%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jukurit (Local): 36.63%; JYP (Visit): 63.37%. For JYP (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.53, with an expected value of -3.04%; they did not produce positive expected value.

18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.30%E -1.25%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.31%E -2.86%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 10:25
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.03%E -1.54%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.75%E -6.07%K -19.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 05:28
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.76%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.04%E -1.99%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 10:56
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.76%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.95%E -3.30%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 21:44
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.76%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.95%E -3.30%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 21:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.76%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.95%E -3.30%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 21:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.76%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.95%E -3.30%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 21:44
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.76%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.95%E -3.30%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 11:30
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.76%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.95%E -3.30%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 11:35
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.76%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.58%E -3.74%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-27 22:34
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.76%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.58%E -3.74%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-27 22:34
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.76%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.58%E -3.74%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-27 22:34
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.76%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.21%E -4.20%K -12.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 12:20
Pinnacle🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.49%E -2.13%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.31%E -2.86%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 14:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.59%E -2.59%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.95%E -3.30%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 10:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.42%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.21%E -4.20%K -12.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 07:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.42%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.21%E -4.20%K -12.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 07:49
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.42%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.21%E -4.20%K -12.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 07:49
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.42%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.21%E -4.20%K -12.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 07:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%0.2%2026-02-28 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%4.7%2026-02-28 14:50
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 37.56%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%8.2%2026-02-28 05:29

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (18)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Coolbet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.59%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.12%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28%2.9%2026-02-28 04:17
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.62%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.84%3.0%2026-02-27 22:34
Svenska Spel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.62%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.84%3.0%2026-02-27 22:34
ATG (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.62%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.84%3.0%2026-02-27 22:34
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.30%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.33%5.4%2026-02-28 10:45
Grosvenor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%6.4%2026-02-27 22:34
Casumo🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%6.4%2026-02-27 22:34
Unibet (NL)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%6.4%2026-02-27 22:33
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%6.4%2026-02-27 22:34
1xBet🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 25.97%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%6.4%2026-02-28 14:25
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%9.0%2026-02-28 10:55
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%9.1%2026-02-28 10:44
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%9.3%2026-02-27 22:33
Winamax (DE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%11.1%2026-02-28 10:45
Everygame🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.81%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%11.5%2026-02-28 14:05
Winamax (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.01%1.70I 58.82%NM 50.84%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.16%15.7%2026-02-28 10:44
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 26.85%1.71I 58.48%NM 50.24%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.91%16.4%2026-02-28 14:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 26.81%1.70I 58.82%NM 50.15%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.04%17.3%2026-02-28 14:34