The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Jukurit v Ilves

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jukurit (Local)

Prediction 31.06%3.22fair odd
EV +3.13%
Edge +0.944%
Kelly +1.35%
Growth +0.042%

assuming max odds 3.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.45%30.88%31.15%32.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.043.053.3235.09%32.87%32.79%30.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ilves (Visit)

Prediction 68.94%1.45fair odd
EV -3.49%
Edge -2.49%
Kelly -8.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.38%69.12%68.85%71.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.371.371.4075.76%73.06%72.99%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jukurit (Local): 31.06%; Ilves (Visit): 68.94%. For Jukurit (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.22. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.32, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.13%.

17 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.45%EV +3.13%E +0.944%K +1.35%G +0.042%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.55%EV -9.00%E -6.82%K -28.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 13:55
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.25%E -4.59%K -17.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 10:59
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.25%E -4.59%K -17.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 10:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.25%E -4.59%K -17.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 11:00
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -5.25%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.49%E -2.49%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-24 09:10
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -5.25%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.49%E -2.49%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-24 09:15
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.25%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.87%E -3.53%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 09:14
Bally Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.25%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.87%E -3.53%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 09:14
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.25%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.87%E -3.53%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 09:14
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.25%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.87%E -3.53%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 09:10
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.94%E -5.14%K -19.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.94%E -5.14%K -19.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 09:10
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.94%E -5.14%K -19.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.94%E -5.14%K -19.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 09:10
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.49%E -2.49%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 09:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.47%E -4.02%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -4.87%E -3.53%K -12.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 09:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.86I 34.97%NM 32.23%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.77%8.5%2026-10-24 09:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.25%1.02I 98.04%NM 49.75%97.0%2026-10-24 04:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-24 02:25

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (17)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Coolbet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.08%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%3.1%2026-10-24 09:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.60%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.62%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.78%3.3%2026-10-24 09:15
ATG (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.60%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.62%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.78%3.3%2026-10-24 09:15
Svenska Spel🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.60%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.62%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.78%3.3%2026-10-24 09:15
Unibet (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.04%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.69%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%5.6%2026-10-24 09:14
1xBet🎯4.51I 22.17%NM 20.91%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.58%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.50%6.0%2026-10-24 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%6.7%2026-10-24 09:15
Casumo🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%6.7%2026-10-24 09:14
Unibet (NL)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%6.7%2026-10-24 09:14
Grosvenor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%6.7%2026-10-24 09:14
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%8.4%2026-10-24 09:10
Tipico (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%8.5%2026-10-24 09:20
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%10.5%2026-10-24 09:09
Winamax (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%11.3%2026-10-24 09:14
Betclic (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.57%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%13.1%2026-10-24 13:44
Winamax (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 22.45%1.56I 64.10%NM 55.40%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.16%15.7%2026-10-24 09:14
Unibet (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 21.96%1.56I 64.10%NM 54.90%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.15%16.8%2026-10-24 13:49