Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jukurit v Ilves

2026-10-23 15:30 UTC — Liiga

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

29%

46%

25%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jukurit (Local)

Prediction 28.77%3.48fair odd

EV -5.05%

Edge -1.53%

Kelly -2.19%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

28.55%28.77%28.87%29.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.803.093.123.3035.71%32.41%32.05%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ilves (Visit)

Prediction 46.36%2.16fair odd

EV -6.36%

Edge -3.15%

Kelly -6.23%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

45.76%46.36%46.27%47.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.821.941.952.0254.95%51.66%51.28%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.87%4.02fair odd

EV +0.714%

Edge +0.176%

Kelly +0.234%

Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

23.26%24.87%24.86%25.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.353.673.704.0529.85%27.26%27.03%24.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Jukurit (Local): 28.77%; Ilves (Visit): 46.36%; Draw: 24.87%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.02. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.05, producing a positive expected value of +0.714%.

5 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Draw ▼	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	3.23I 30.96%NM 29.16%EV -7.06%E -2.19%K -3.17%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.58%EV -8.21%E -4.15%K -8.38%G +0.000%	4.05I 24.69%NM 23.26%EV +0.714%E +0.176%K +0.234%G +0.002%	6.2%	2026-10-20 22:05
Unibet (UK)🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -5.05%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.50%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-10-20 21:59
Winamax (DE)🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -12.24%E -4.01%K -5.97%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 46.44%EV -10.06%E -5.19%K -10.71%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-10-20 22:05
Tipico (DE)🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.92%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -7.28%E -3.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.99%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-10-20 22:10
Betclic (FR)🎯	3.12I 32.05%NM 28.91%EV -10.23%E -3.28%K -4.82%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 46.25%EV -9.60%E -4.92%K -10.11%G +0.000%	3.63I 27.55%NM 24.84%EV -9.73%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-10-20 22:00
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 29.74%EV -19.43%E -6.94%K -10.80%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 45.76%EV -15.63%E -8.59%K -19.06%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 24.50%EV -15.45%E -4.54%K -6.44%G +0.000%	20.1%	2026-10-20 22:05
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 29.05%EV -16.56%E -5.71%K -8.71%G +0.000%	1.84I 54.35%NM 45.79%EV -14.70%E -7.99%K -17.50%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 25.15%EV -16.69%E -4.98%K -7.10%G +0.000%	18.7%	2026-10-20 21:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (5)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

Bookmaker	Option 1	Option 2	Margin ▲	Updated
theScore Bet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%	5.6%	2026-10-20 21:59
Pinnacle🎯	2.41I 41.49%NM 39.14%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%	6.0%	2026-10-20 22:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%	6.4%	2026-10-20 23:05
Paddy Power🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%	8.1%	2026-10-20 21:59
Smarkets◎	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%	1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%	10.4%	2026-10-20 22:00