默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Jukurit v HIFK

开赛时间: 2026-09-09 15:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Jukurit (主队)

预测 31.61%3.16公平赔率
EV +4.31%
优势 +1.31%
Kelly +1.87%
增长率 +0.081%

假设最高赔率为 3.30

博彩公司预测分布
29.39%31.26%31.65%33.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.652.932.953.3037.74%34.10%33.90%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

HIFK (客队)

预测 43.54%2.30公平赔率
EV -4.21%
优势 -1.92%
Kelly -3.51%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.20

博彩公司预测分布
42.63%43.80%43.51%45.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.122.132.2050.00%47.21%46.95%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.85%4.02公平赔率
EV -0.594%
优势 -0.149%
Kelly -0.198%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布
23.52%24.93%24.85%25.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.453.753.804.0028.99%26.65%26.32%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Jukurit (主队):31.61%;HIFK (客队):43.54%;平局:24.85%。 对于“Jukurit (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.16。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.30,对应+4.31%的正期望值。

有 17 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(2 个赛果,而分析采用 3 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%EV +4.31%E +1.31%K +1.87%G +0.081%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.75%EV -7.70%E -3.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV -3.08%E -0.790%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-07 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.21%EV -2.01%E -0.648%K -0.957%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.98%EV -4.21%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.81%EV -3.08%E -0.790%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-09 15:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.21%EV -2.01%E -0.648%K -0.957%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.98%EV -4.21%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.81%EV -3.08%E -0.790%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-09 15:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.21%EV -2.01%E -0.648%K -0.957%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.98%EV -4.21%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.81%EV -3.08%E -0.790%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-09 15:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.17%E -1.72%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.93%EV -6.83%E -3.19%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 15:20
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.17%E -1.72%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.93%EV -6.83%E -3.19%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 15:20
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.17%E -1.72%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.93%EV -6.83%E -3.19%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 15:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.17%E -1.72%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.93%EV -6.83%E -3.19%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.95%EV -6.75%E -2.29%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -5.08%E -2.33%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 15:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -6.75%E -2.29%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 14:10
Betway🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -9.91%E -3.48%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.54%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 15:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.23%EV -9.91%E -3.48%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.06%EV -12.05%E -5.97%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 15:25
1xBet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.13%EV -10.23%E -3.60%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.35%EV -5.52%E -2.54%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -0.594%E -0.149%K -0.198%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 15:25
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -11.49%E -4.10%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 13:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.67%EV -11.49%E -4.10%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.63%EV -9.44%E -4.54%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -14.26%E -4.13%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-09 15:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -13.07%E -4.75%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.75%E -5.24%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-09 15:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.09%EV -13.07%E -4.75%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.05%EV -10.75%E -5.24%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.86%EV -11.78%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-09 15:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.56%EV -16.23%E -6.13%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.14%EV -12.92%E -6.46%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.30%EV -11.78%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-09 15:25
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (17)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%3.9%2026-09-09 15:25
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%4.0%2026-09-09 15:20
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%4.2%2026-09-09 13:20
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%5.0%2026-09-09 15:25
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%5.0%2026-09-09 15:24
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%5.0%2026-09-09 15:24
Pinnacle🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%5.0%2026-09-09 14:45
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%5.1%2026-09-09 11:10
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%5.3%2026-09-09 11:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%5.3%2026-09-09 11:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%5.3%2026-09-09 11:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%6.4%2026-09-09 15:25
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%8.0%2026-09-09 11:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%8.0%2026-09-09 11:15
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%8.0%2026-09-09 11:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%8.0%2026-09-09 11:15
Smarkets◎2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%8.3%2026-09-09 15:25