Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jukurit v Ässät

2026-10-07 09:00 UTC — Liiga

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

35%

40%

25%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jukurit (Local)

Prediction 34.86%2.87fair odd

EV -5.87%

Edge -2.18%

Kelly -3.45%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

34.85%34.86%34.87%36.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.352.542.572.7042.55%39.44%38.91%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ässät (Visit)

Prediction 40.30%2.48fair odd

EV -4.89%

Edge -2.07%

Kelly -3.60%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

39.73%40.30%40.35%40.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.052.222.232.3648.78%45.10%44.84%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.84%4.03fair odd

EV -2.13%

Edge -0.542%

Kelly -0.726%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

23.79%24.84%24.79%24.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.303.653.703.9430.30%27.43%27.03%25.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Jukurit (Local): 34.86%; Ässät (Visit): 40.30%; Draw: 24.84%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.03. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.94, with an expected value of -2.13%; they do not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -5.87%E -2.18%K -3.45%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 40.39%EV -6.10%E -2.62%K -4.59%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -5.61%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-10-04 09:15
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -7.62%E -2.87%K -4.62%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.17%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -8.10%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-10-04 12:45
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.58I 38.76%NM 34.87%EV -10.06%E -3.90%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 40.34%EV -10.13%E -4.54%K -8.24%G +0.000%	3.63I 27.55%NM 24.78%EV -9.83%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000%	11.2%	2026-10-04 09:13
1xBet🎯	2.57I 38.91%NM 36.48%EV -10.41%E -4.05%K -6.63%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 39.73%EV -4.89%E -2.07%K -3.60%G +0.000%	3.94I 25.38%NM 23.79%EV -2.13%E -0.542%K -0.726%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-10-04 11:15
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -11.10%E -4.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 40.83%EV -11.34%E -5.16%K -9.45%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-10-04 09:15
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 35.24%EV -18.07%E -7.69%K -13.39%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 40.40%EV -17.39%E -8.48%K -16.56%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 24.36%EV -15.55%E -4.57%K -6.48%G +0.000%	20.7%	2026-10-04 09:15
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 34.98%EV -18.07%E -7.69%K -13.39%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 40.10%EV -17.39%E -8.48%K -16.56%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 24.91%EV -18.03%E -5.46%K -7.84%G +0.000%	21.6%	2026-10-04 09:14

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

Bookmaker	Option 1	Option 2	Margin ▲	Updated
NordicBet🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%	4.0%	2026-10-04 11:15
Betsson🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%	5.3%	2026-10-04 10:05
Pinnacle🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.55%	1.84I 54.35%NM 51.45%	5.6%	2026-10-04 09:25
theScore Bet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%	6.5%	2026-10-04 09:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%	6.5%	2026-10-04 09:15
Paddy Power🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%	7.8%	2026-10-04 09:14
Smarkets◎	1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%	1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%	10.2%	2026-10-04 09:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	98.0%	2026-10-04 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	98.0%	2026-10-04 10:55