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Jokerit v JYP

Kickoff: 2026-09-17 15:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jokerit (Local)

Prediction 35.45%2.82fair odd
EV +2.81%
Edge +0.969%
Kelly +1.48%
Growth +0.042%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.61%35.33%36.14%38.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.652.702.9042.55%37.79%37.04%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

JYP (Visit)

Prediction 41.65%2.40fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.07%41.91%40.91%43.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.202.172.3448.78%45.53%46.08%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.90%4.37fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.358%
Kelly -0.466%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.81%22.76%22.95%23.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.044.004.3026.32%24.73%25.00%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jokerit (Local): 35.45%; JYP (Visit): 41.65%; Draw: 22.90%. For Jokerit (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.82. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.81%.

18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.66%EV +2.81%E +0.969%K +1.48%G +0.042%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.38%EV -6.29%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.97%EV -2.68%E -0.632%K -0.826%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-17 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.95%EV +1.04%E +0.364%K +0.561%G +0.006%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.01%EV -6.29%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04%EV -3.83%E -0.912%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-17 14:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.95%EV +1.04%E +0.364%K +0.561%G +0.006%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.01%EV -6.29%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04%EV -3.83%E -0.912%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-17 14:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.95%EV +1.04%E +0.364%K +0.561%G +0.006%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.01%EV -6.29%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04%EV -3.83%E -0.912%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-17 14:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -2.51%E -0.912%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -9.62%E -4.43%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 14:40
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -2.51%E -0.912%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -9.62%E -4.43%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 14:40
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -2.51%E -0.912%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -9.62%E -4.43%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 14:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -2.51%E -0.912%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -9.62%E -4.43%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 14:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -4.28%E -1.59%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.90%EV -12.53%E -5.97%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -3.83%E -0.912%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-17 15:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.61%EV -6.76%E -2.57%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.12%EV -14.62%E -7.13%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -12.99%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-17 14:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.83%E -3.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.89%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -6.12%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-17 15:26
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -11.37%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.61%EV -6.29%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-17 15:26
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.12%EV -12.79%E -5.20%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.07%EV -2.54%E -1.08%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.81%EV -1.54%E -0.358%K -0.466%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-17 15:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -13.14%E -5.36%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.85%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-17 15:26
Betclic (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.12%EV -13.14%E -5.36%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.78%EV -9.62%E -4.43%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.10%EV -12.30%E -3.21%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-17 15:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.39%EV -14.92%E -6.22%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.62%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.98%EV -12.99%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-17 15:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.64%EV -16.69%E -7.10%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.00%EV -12.53%E -5.97%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.36%EV -11.84%E -3.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%16.1%2026-09-17 15:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (18)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%4.1%2026-09-17 15:26
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%4.3%2026-09-17 15:26
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%4.6%2026-09-17 15:20
Pinnacle🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%4.8%2026-09-17 15:26
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%5.2%2026-09-17 14:45
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%5.2%2026-09-17 14:40
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%5.2%2026-09-17 15:11
Bally Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%5.2%2026-09-17 14:40
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%5.6%2026-09-15 19:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%5.6%2026-09-15 19:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%5.6%2026-09-15 19:01
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%6.8%2026-09-17 15:25
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%7.0%2026-09-16 05:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%7.0%2026-09-16 05:41
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%7.0%2026-09-16 05:45
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%7.0%2026-09-16 05:45
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%7.8%2026-09-17 15:25
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%8.4%2026-09-17 15:26