默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Ilves v TPS

2026-09-27 12:00 UTC — Liiga

胜负盘

12 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Ilves (主队)

预测 65.20%1.53公平赔率
EV -1.55%
优势 -1.03%
Kelly -3.04%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.51

博彩公司预测分布
63.61%65.08%65.06%66.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.401.451.441.5171.43%69.20%69.44%66.23%最小值均值中位数最大值

TPS (客队)

预测 34.80%2.87公平赔率
EV -2.56%
优势 -0.913%
Kelly -1.42%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.80

博彩公司预测分布
33.73%34.92%34.94%36.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.642.742.752.8037.88%36.45%36.36%35.71%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Ilves (主队):65.20%;TPS (客队):34.80%。 对于“Ilves (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.53。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为1.51,期望值为-1.55%,未产生正期望值。

有 14 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(3 个赛果,而分析采用 2 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (12 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -1.55%E -1.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -8.12%E -3.08%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-25 10:24
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -4.16%E -2.83%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -3.25%E -1.17%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-25 08:20
Betsson🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.81%E -3.29%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.04%E -2.24%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-25 08:20
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.46%E -3.77%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.04%E -2.24%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 08:10
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.11%E -4.25%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.30%E -1.56%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 12:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.11%E -4.25%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.30%E -1.56%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 12:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.11%E -4.25%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.30%E -1.56%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 12:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.11%E -4.25%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.04%E -2.24%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-25 08:34
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.77%E -4.73%K -15.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.56%E -0.913%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-25 08:10
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.77%E -4.73%K -15.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.56%E -0.913%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-25 08:09
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.77%E -4.73%K -15.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.56%E -0.913%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-25 08:10
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.30%E -1.56%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-25 08:09
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎1.40I 71.43%NM 64.65%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.35%10.5%2026-09-25 12:05

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (14)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%3.1%2026-09-25 11:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%3.1%2026-09-25 11:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%3.1%2026-09-25 11:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%5.5%2026-09-25 08:09
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.37%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.49%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.14%6.3%2026-09-25 08:30
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%6.4%2026-09-25 11:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%6.4%2026-09-25 11:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%6.4%2026-09-25 11:15
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%6.4%2026-09-25 11:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.84%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%10.6%2026-09-25 08:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.54%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.78%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.68%11.2%2026-09-25 08:08
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.58%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%12.4%2026-09-25 11:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 52.51%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.25%18.3%2026-09-25 08:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 52.87%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.70%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.42%19.7%2026-09-25 08:25