語言:繁體中文
Ilves v HPK
收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →
獨贏
Ilves (主隊)
預測 65.89%1.52公平賠率
EV -1.82%
優勢 -1.22%
Kelly -3.72%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 1.49
博彩公司預測分布
64.44%65.97%65.55%67.82%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.401.431.441.4971.43%69.90%69.44%67.11%最小值平均值中位數最大值
HPK (客隊)
預測 34.11%2.93公平賠率
EV +0.622%
優勢 +0.211%
Kelly +0.319%
成長率 +0.002%
假設最高賠率為 2.95
博彩公司預測分布
32.18%34.03%34.45%35.56%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.622.792.802.9538.17%35.89%35.71%33.90%最小值平均值中位數最大值
依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Ilves (主隊)：65.89%；HPK (客隊)：34.11%。 對於「HPK (客隊)」，該估計相當於2.93的公平十進位賠率。 當時有3家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為2.95，對應+0.622%的正期望值。
有 17 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同（3 個賽果，而分析採用 2 個賽果）。由於存在這項差異，解讀分析結果時應審慎。
博彩公司賠率 (17 家博彩公司)
本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 ▼ | 利潤率 | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.75%E -5.54%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +0.622%E +0.211%K +0.319%G +0.002% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 16:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.75%E -5.54%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +0.622%E +0.211%K +0.319%G +0.002% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 16:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.75%E -5.54%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +0.622%E +0.211%K +0.319%G +0.002% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 16:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.75%E -5.54%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.08%E -0.374%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 16:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.75%E -5.54%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.08%E -0.374%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 16:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.75%E -5.54%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.08%E -0.374%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 16:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.75%E -5.54%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.08%E -0.374%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 16:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.12%E -3.55%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.49%E -1.61%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-10 10:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.12%E -3.55%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.49%E -1.61%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-10 10:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.48%E -1.68%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.20%E -2.25%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-10 13:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -3.80%E -2.60%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -7.22%E -2.66%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 16:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -1.82%E -1.22%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -7.91%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 16:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.46%E -3.07%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.61%E -3.63%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-10 13:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -5.12%E -3.55%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -10.29%E -3.91%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-10 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -5.12%E -3.55%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -10.29%E -3.91%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-10 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.12%E -3.55%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.63%E -4.06%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.12%E -3.55%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.63%E -4.06%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 14:20 |
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率
更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.2% | 2026-03-10 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.21% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79% | 2.7% | 2026-03-10 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 16:25 |
其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (17)
這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同，因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同，因而帶來額外不確定性。
| 博彩公司 | 選項 1 | 選項 2 | 選項 3 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.68% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.65% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66% | 2.6% | 2026-03-10 10:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.68% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.65% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66% | 2.6% | 2026-03-10 10:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.68% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.65% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66% | 2.6% | 2026-03-10 10:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.27% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65% | 3.1% | 2026-03-10 10:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.97% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.63% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40% | 6.3% | 2026-03-10 16:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.25% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91% | 6.5% | 2026-03-09 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.25% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91% | 6.5% | 2026-03-09 16:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.25% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91% | 6.5% | 2026-03-09 16:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.25% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91% | 6.5% | 2026-03-09 16:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11% | 8.2% | 2026-03-10 11:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41% | 8.9% | 2026-03-10 13:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85% | 9.4% | 2026-03-10 10:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.63% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48% | 11.2% | 2026-03-10 13:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.63% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.89% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48% | 11.9% | 2026-03-10 16:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.89% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55% | 13.2% | 2026-03-10 13:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.14% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.09% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.78% | 15.5% | 2026-03-10 13:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 51.81% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 24.64% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 23.55% | 17.0% | 2026-03-10 16:03 |