语言:简体中文
HPK v Lukko
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
HPK (主队)
预测 44.83%2.23公平赔率
EV -0.470%
优势 -0.212%
Kelly -0.386%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.22
博彩公司预测分布
42.93%44.94%44.73%47.40%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.022.102.102.2249.50%47.53%47.62%45.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
Lukko (客队)
预测 55.17%1.81公平赔率
EV +0.404%
优势 +0.222%
Kelly +0.492%
增长率 +0.002%
假设最高赔率为 1.82
博彩公司预测分布
52.60%55.06%55.27%57.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.671.721.731.8259.88%58.00%57.80%54.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：HPK (主队)：44.83%；Lukko (客队)：55.17%。 对于“Lukko (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.81。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.82，对应+0.404%的正期望值。
有 16 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -9.44%E -4.67%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +0.404%E +0.222%K +0.492%G +0.002% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.61%E -1.68%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.01%E -2.30%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 11:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.61%E -1.68%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.01%E -2.30%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 11:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.61%E -1.68%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.01%E -2.30%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 11:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.06%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 13:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.95%E -2.34%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 13:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.95%E -2.34%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 13:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.66%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 11:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 08:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 08:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -0.470%E -0.212%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 0.4% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 13:55 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (16)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.80% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94% | 3.1% | 2026-03-21 07:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.21% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.02% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 14:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.21% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.02% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.21% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.02% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.11% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.02% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.02% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.02% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 14:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.02% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 14:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 02:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 14:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.78% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 11:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85% | 11.8% | 2026-03-21 11:48 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55% | 11.8% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.98% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.87% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.15% | 16.6% | 2026-03-21 13:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.33% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.84% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.83% | 16.7% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |