The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

HPK v Kiekko-Espoo

2026-10-30 16:30 UTC — Liiga

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

HPK (Local)

Prediction 46.68%2.14fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -2.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.69%46.79%46.70%48.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.032.002.0950.51%49.24%50.00%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kiekko-Espoo (Visit)

Prediction 53.32%1.88fair odd
EV -1.36%
Edge -0.736%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.70%53.21%53.30%54.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.781.771.8557.80%56.28%56.50%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: HPK (Local): 46.68%; Kiekko-Espoo (Visit): 53.32%. For Kiekko-Espoo (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.85, with an expected value of -1.36%; they do not produce positive expected value.

14 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -2.43%E -1.16%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-29 00:25
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.90%E -1.39%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-29 00:24
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.37%E -1.63%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.16%E -3.50%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-29 00:25
Bally Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.37%E -1.63%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.16%E -3.50%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-29 00:24
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.37%E -1.63%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.16%E -3.50%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-29 00:25
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.77%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.63%E -3.18%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-28 20:05
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-28 20:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-28 20:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-28 20:04
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.63%E -3.18%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-28 20:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.63%E -3.18%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-28 20:04
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.76%E -4.49%K -10.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-28 20:08
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -7.57%E -3.82%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -1.36%E -0.736%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-28 22:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-29 01:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-29 01:25

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (14)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.85%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.77%2.6%2026-10-29 00:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.85%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.77%2.6%2026-10-29 00:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.85%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.77%2.6%2026-10-29 00:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.64%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%5.6%2026-10-28 20:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.73%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.36%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%5.9%2026-10-29 00:24
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.73%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.36%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%5.9%2026-10-29 00:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.73%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.36%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%5.9%2026-10-29 00:25
1xBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.08%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.06%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.86%6.4%2026-10-29 00:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%8.2%2026-10-28 20:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 35.08%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.43%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.50%10.9%2026-10-28 20:08
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%11.0%2026-10-28 21:05
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.96%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.05%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%11.1%2026-10-29 00:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 34.97%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.97%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.06%19.1%2026-10-28 20:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 35.37%2.05I 48.78%NM 40.54%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.09%20.3%2026-10-28 21:05