语言:简体中文
HPK v Kärpät
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
HPK (主队)
预测 61.60%1.62公平赔率
EV -3.29%
优势 -2.09%
Kelly -5.77%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.57
博彩公司预测分布
59.74%61.64%61.56%62.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.521.541.551.5765.79%64.79%64.52%63.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
Kärpät (客队)
预测 38.40%2.60公平赔率
EV -2.85%
优势 -1.13%
Kelly -1.86%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.53
博彩公司预测分布
37.53%38.36%38.44%40.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.442.452.5343.48%41.02%40.82%39.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：HPK (主队)：61.60%；Kärpät (客队)：38.40%。 对于“Kärpät (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.60。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.53，期望值为-2.85%，未产生正期望值。
有 15 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.29%E -2.09%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 13:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.29%E -2.09%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.92%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 10:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.52%E -2.92%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.92%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 13:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.52%E -2.92%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.92%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 13:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.52%E -2.92%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.92%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.52%E -2.92%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.68%E -5.08%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.52%E -2.92%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.68%E -5.08%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 12:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.52%E -2.92%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.68%E -5.08%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 12:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.52%E -2.92%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.68%E -5.08%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.14%E -3.33%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.77%E -1.92%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 11:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.14%E -3.33%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.77%E -1.92%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 11:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 11:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 11:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 10:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.75%E -3.76%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.92%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 12:58 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -6.37%E -4.19%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -2.85%E -1.13%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 11:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.54% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.46% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.54% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.46% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (15)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.60% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.64% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.76% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 13:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.60% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.64% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.76% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 13:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.60% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.64% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.76% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 13:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.65% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 13:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.58% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.58% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 13:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.58% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 13:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.58% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 13:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 12:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 13:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 13:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55% | 10.9% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.96% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93% | 11.2% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 49.59% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.29% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.12% | 15.9% | 2026-03-07 12:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 48.89% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 27.87% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 23.25% | 16.9% | 2026-03-07 13:33 |