預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

HPK v Ilves

開賽時間: 2026-09-08 15:30 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

16 家博彩公司 (6 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

HPK (主隊)

預測 50.82%1.97公平賠率
EV -1.92%
優勢 -0.993%
Kelly -2.06%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.93

博彩公司預測分布
49.48%50.81%50.92%52.11%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.821.871.871.9354.95%53.60%53.48%51.81%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Ilves (客隊)

預測 49.18%2.03公平賠率
EV -1.64%
優勢 -0.820%
Kelly -1.64%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.00

博彩公司預測分布
47.89%49.19%49.08%50.52%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.851.911.912.0054.05%52.34%52.36%50.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:HPK (主隊):50.82%;Ilves (客隊):49.18%。 對於「Ilves (客隊)」,該估計相當於2.03的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為2.00,期望值為-1.64%,未產生正期望值。

有 18 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同(3 個賽果,而分析採用 2 個賽果)。由於存在這項差異,解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (16 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -1.92%E -0.993%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -7.05%E -3.73%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 05:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 19:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 19:55
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 20:00
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.97%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 15:05
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.97%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.08%E -2.63%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 15:20
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.97%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.08%E -2.63%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 15:20
Bally Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.97%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.08%E -2.63%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 15:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.97%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.03%E -4.30%K -9.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 09:35
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.98%E -3.23%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.64%E -0.820%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 12:39
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.98%E -3.23%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.61%E -1.84%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 11:20
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.00%E -3.82%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -9.02%E -4.87%K -10.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.00%E -3.82%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -9.02%E -4.87%K -10.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 22:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.00%E -3.82%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -9.02%E -4.87%K -10.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 22:20
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.00%E -3.82%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -9.02%E -4.87%K -10.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 22:20
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -7.51%E -4.13%K -9.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -2.62%E -1.33%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 12:40
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Smarkets◎1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%8.1%2026-09-08 03:35

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (18)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同,因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同,因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司選項 1選項 2選項 3利潤率 ▲更新時間
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.19%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.37%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%2.1%2026-09-08 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%3.5%2026-09-08 15:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%3.5%2026-09-08 15:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%3.5%2026-09-08 15:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%6.3%2026-09-06 09:33
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%6.5%2026-09-08 15:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%6.5%2026-09-08 15:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%6.5%2026-09-08 15:20
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%6.5%2026-09-08 15:20
1xBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.19%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.65%6.8%2026-09-08 11:14
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%8.3%2026-09-07 13:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.74%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%8.9%2026-09-08 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.58%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%10.9%2026-09-06 09:34
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%11.5%2026-09-06 09:33
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.86%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%12.4%2026-09-08 15:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.31%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.34%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.35%12.5%2026-09-08 15:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.59%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.60%13.2%2026-09-08 15:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.28%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.45%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.26%16.1%2026-09-08 09:09