语言:简体中文
HPK v Ilves
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
HPK (主队)
预测 50.82%1.97公平赔率
EV -1.92%
优势 -0.993%
Kelly -2.06%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.93
博彩公司预测分布
49.48%50.81%50.92%52.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.821.871.871.9354.95%53.60%53.48%51.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
Ilves (客队)
预测 49.18%2.03公平赔率
EV -1.64%
优势 -0.820%
Kelly -1.64%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.00
博彩公司预测分布
47.89%49.19%49.08%50.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.851.911.912.0054.05%52.34%52.36%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：HPK (主队)：50.82%；Ilves (客队)：49.18%。 对于“Ilves (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.03。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.00，期望值为-1.64%，未产生正期望值。
有 18 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (16 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -1.92%E -0.993%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -7.05%E -3.73%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 05:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.93%E -1.54%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.07%E -3.18%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 20:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.97%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.10%E -2.10%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-08 15:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.97%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.08%E -2.63%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.97%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.08%E -2.63%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.97%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.08%E -2.63%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.97%E -2.66%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.03%E -4.30%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 09:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.98%E -3.23%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.64%E -0.820%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-08 12:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.98%E -3.23%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.61%E -1.84%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 11:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.00%E -3.82%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -9.02%E -4.87%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.00%E -3.82%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -9.02%E -4.87%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 22:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.00%E -3.82%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -9.02%E -4.87%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 22:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.00%E -3.82%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -9.02%E -4.87%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 22:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -7.51%E -4.13%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -2.62%E -1.33%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 12:40 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 03:35 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (18)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.19% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.37% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45% | 2.1% | 2026-09-08 14:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.17% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16% | 3.5% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.17% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16% | 3.5% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.17% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16% | 3.5% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 09:33 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09% | 6.5% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09% | 6.5% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09% | 6.5% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09% | 6.5% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.19% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.65% | 6.8% | 2026-09-08 11:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62% | 8.3% | 2026-09-07 13:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.74% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 14:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.58% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05% | 10.9% | 2026-09-06 09:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92% | 11.5% | 2026-09-06 09:33 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.86% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06% | 12.4% | 2026-09-08 15:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.31% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.34% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.35% | 12.5% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.59% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.60% | 13.2% | 2026-09-08 15:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.28% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.45% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.26% | 16.1% | 2026-09-08 09:09 |