The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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HPK v HIFK

2026-10-24 14:00 UTC — Liiga

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

HPK (Local)

Prediction 49.08%2.04fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -0.673%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.51%48.95%49.34%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.941.922.0153.48%51.45%52.08%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

HIFK (Visit)

Prediction 50.92%1.96fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -3.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.05%50.66%52.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.861.871.9155.25%53.84%53.48%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: HPK (Local): 49.08%; HIFK (Visit): 50.92%. For HPK (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.01, with an expected value of -1.35%; they do not produce positive expected value.

16 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -1.35%E -0.673%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -6.30%E -3.43%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-23 22:44
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -1.84%E -0.922%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.83%E -4.33%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-23 22:40
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -1.84%E -0.922%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.83%E -4.33%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-23 22:44
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -1.84%E -0.922%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.83%E -4.33%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-23 22:40
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -2.82%E -1.43%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -7.32%E -4.02%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-23 22:40
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.77%E -3.00%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.78%E -2.55%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 21:05
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.26%E -3.28%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.74%E -1.43%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-23 21:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.26%E -3.28%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.74%E -1.43%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-23 21:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.26%E -3.28%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.74%E -1.43%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-23 21:00
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.22%E -4.40%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.55%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-23 20:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.22%E -4.40%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.55%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-23 20:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 49.86%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.14%10.2%2026-10-23 21:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-24 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-24 00:15

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (16)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.36%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.02%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%2.8%2026-10-23 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.36%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.02%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%2.8%2026-10-23 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.36%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.02%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%2.8%2026-10-23 22:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.51%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%6.3%2026-10-23 22:40
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.51%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%6.3%2026-10-23 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.51%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%6.3%2026-10-23 22:40
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.51%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%6.3%2026-10-23 22:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%6.3%2026-10-23 20:59
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.32%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.65%6.8%2026-10-24 01:30
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%8.3%2026-10-23 22:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%8.6%2026-10-24 01:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.31%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.62%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%10.8%2026-10-23 20:58
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.58%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%10.9%2026-10-23 20:59
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%11.1%2026-10-23 20:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.45%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.28%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.26%16.1%2026-10-23 21:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.36%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.27%16.4%2026-10-23 21:00