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HIFK v TPS
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
HIFK (Local)
assuming max odds 2.60
TPS (Visit)
assuming max odds 2.45
Draw
assuming max odds 3.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: HIFK (Local): 36.35%; TPS (Visit): 38.63%; Draw: 25.02%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.00. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.80, with an expected value of -4.91%; they did not produce positive expected value.
3 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.50%E -2.11%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -5.36%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -4.91%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 17:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.27%EV -9.86%E -3.98%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.60%EV -9.99%E -4.29%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.13%EV -10.42%E -2.91%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-03 17:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.67%EV -10.95%E -4.47%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.06%EV -11.15%E -4.85%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -7.41%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-03 17:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.00%EV -16.40%E -7.13%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 38.52%EV -16.95%E -7.88%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.48%EV -18.67%E -5.75%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 20.8% | 2026-10-03 17:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 36.79%EV -18.22%E -8.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 38.50%EV -16.95%E -7.88%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 24.71%EV -16.17%E -4.83%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 20.8% | 2026-10-03 17:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (3)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.11% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.89% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 21:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 17:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 17:39 |