The School of Odds
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HIFK v Pelicans

Kickoff: 2026-03-17 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

HIFK (Local)

Prediction 62.82%1.59fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -3.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.58%63.08%62.91%65.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.491.501.5669.44%67.09%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pelicans (Visit)

Prediction 37.18%2.69fair odd
EV +2.25%
Edge +0.818%
Kelly +1.29%
Growth +0.029%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.37%36.92%37.09%38.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.582.552.7540.00%38.72%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: HIFK (Local): 62.82%; Pelicans (Visit): 37.18%. For Pelicans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.69. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.25%.

17 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -9.54%E -6.63%K -21.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +2.25%E +0.818%K +1.29%G +0.029%5.8%2026-03-17 16:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -9.54%E -6.63%K -21.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +2.25%E +0.818%K +1.29%G +0.029%5.8%2026-03-17 16:25
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -9.54%E -6.63%K -21.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +2.25%E +0.818%K +1.29%G +0.029%5.8%2026-03-17 16:25
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -9.54%E -6.63%K -21.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +2.25%E +0.818%K +1.29%G +0.029%5.8%2026-03-17 16:25
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.33%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 11:59
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.33%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 12:10
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.33%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 12:09
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -5.14%E -3.41%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -3.70%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 10:45
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.52%E -2.97%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.19%E -2.03%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 12:00
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.52%E -2.97%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.19%E -2.03%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 11:59
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.00%E -1.28%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 06:05
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.89%E -2.54%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 20:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.14%E -3.41%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-16 08:30
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.03%E -4.75%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-16 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.03%E -4.75%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-16 14:54
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.03%E -4.75%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-16 14:54
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.03%E -4.75%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.05%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-16 15:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-03-17 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-03-17 16:20
Smarkets◎1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%4.3%2026-03-17 16:20

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (17)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.53%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.95%3.1%2026-03-17 06:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.59%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%3.1%2026-03-17 11:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.59%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%3.1%2026-03-17 12:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.59%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%3.1%2026-03-17 12:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%4.8%2026-03-16 08:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%6.2%2026-03-17 11:59
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%6.2%2026-03-17 12:00
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%6.2%2026-03-17 12:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%6.2%2026-03-17 11:59
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.03%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.67%6.3%2026-03-17 10:45
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%7.0%2026-03-17 06:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%8.5%2026-03-17 12:00
LeoVegas🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.38%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%9.3%2026-03-17 11:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.39%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%10.2%2026-03-16 08:05
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.37%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%11.8%2026-03-17 10:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 49.97%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.29%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.74%17.0%2026-03-17 16:08
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 49.65%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.54%19.9%2026-03-16 08:30