The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

HIFK v Lukko

2026-09-19 12:00 UTC — Liiga

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

HIFK (Local)

Prediction 52.57%1.90fair odd
EV +0.405%
Edge +0.212%
Kelly +0.445%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.43%52.84%54.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.801.801.9157.80%55.46%55.56%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lukko (Visit)

Prediction 47.43%2.11fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.645%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.67%47.57%47.16%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.992.002.0852.36%50.15%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: HIFK (Local): 52.57%; Lukko (Visit): 47.43%. For HIFK (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.90. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 1.91, producing a positive expected value of +0.405%.

15 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.405%E +0.212%K +0.445%G +0.002%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.41%E -4.92%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-17 23:25
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.98%E -4.11%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-17 21:19
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.98%E -4.11%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-17 21:19
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.98%E -4.11%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-17 21:19
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.14%E -2.57%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-17 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.14%E -2.57%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-17 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.14%E -2.57%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-17 18:20
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -1.34%E -0.645%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 00:50
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.43%E -3.61%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.24%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 00:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.95%E -3.93%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.14%E -2.57%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 23:15
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.95%E -3.93%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.14%E -2.57%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 23:14
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -8.53%E -4.90%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -1.82%E -0.877%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-17 23:30
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.06%E -5.24%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.14%E -2.57%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-17 18:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%10.2%2026-09-17 23:15

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (15)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.54%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%3.2%2026-09-17 21:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.54%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%3.2%2026-09-17 21:14
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.54%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%3.2%2026-09-17 21:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.53%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%6.2%2026-09-17 23:14
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.37%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.97%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.66%6.3%2026-09-17 23:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%6.5%2026-09-17 21:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%6.5%2026-09-17 21:19
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%6.5%2026-09-17 21:19
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%6.5%2026-09-17 21:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%7.9%2026-09-17 23:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 40.69%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.42%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.89%10.7%2026-09-17 23:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%11.1%2026-09-17 23:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.66%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%12.3%2026-09-17 21:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.27%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.34%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.39%15.5%2026-09-17 23:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 40.82%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.61%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.57%19.5%2026-09-17 23:15