The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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HIFK v JYP

Kickoff: 2026-09-25 15:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

HIFK (Local)

Prediction 43.34%2.31fair odd
EV -0.329%
Edge -0.143%
Kelly -0.253%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.69%43.20%43.66%44.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.202.182.3046.51%45.38%45.87%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

JYP (Visit)

Prediction 56.66%1.76fair odd
EV -3.10%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -4.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.81%56.80%56.34%58.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.671.661.7161.73%59.96%60.24%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: HIFK (Local): 43.34%; JYP (Visit): 56.66%. For HIFK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.31. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.30, with an expected value of -0.329%; they did not produce positive expected value.

17 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.329%E -0.143%K -0.253%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-25 10:25
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.20%E -0.525%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.64%E -4.68%K -12.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-25 10:25
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.20%E -0.525%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.64%E -4.68%K -12.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-25 10:25
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.20%E -0.525%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.64%E -4.68%K -12.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-25 10:25
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.50%E -1.11%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.20%E -5.06%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-25 10:35
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.10%E -1.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-25 10:39
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 10:20
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -6.40%E -2.96%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -3.10%E -1.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-25 15:25
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 10:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 10:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.67%E -2.16%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 10:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.37%E -3.22%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-25 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-24 06:30
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -10.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-24 06:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%8.1%2026-09-25 10:40

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (17)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.30%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%3.1%2026-09-25 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.30%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%3.1%2026-09-25 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.30%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%3.1%2026-09-25 14:00
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.76%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%3.3%2026-09-24 20:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.01%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%5.9%2026-09-25 10:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%6.2%2026-09-25 14:00
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%6.2%2026-09-25 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%6.2%2026-09-25 14:00
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%6.2%2026-09-25 14:00
Betway🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-09-25 10:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%8.9%2026-09-25 13:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%11.4%2026-09-25 10:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.20%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.65%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.14%12.2%2026-09-25 14:00
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%12.4%2026-09-25 10:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 32.35%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.60%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.06%13.2%2026-09-25 15:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.72%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.54%15.3%2026-09-25 10:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.27%1.93I 51.81%NM 44.31%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.43%16.9%2026-09-25 10:40