Language:English
HIFK v Jukurit
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
HIFK (Local)
Prediction 67.33%1.49fair odd
EV -3.72%
Edge -2.60%
Kelly -8.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.28%67.60%67.33%69.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.381.381.4375.76%72.62%72.46%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jukurit (Visit)
Prediction 14.83%6.74fair odd
EV +11.19%
Edge +1.49%
Kelly +1.72%
Growth +0.193%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.04%14.61%14.83%16.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.256.256.107.5019.05%16.01%16.39%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 17.84%5.60fair odd
EV +3.50%
Edge +0.603%
Kelly +0.728%
Growth +0.025%
assuming max odds 5.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.69%17.79%17.84%20.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.405.325.505.8022.73%18.81%18.18%17.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: HIFK (Local): 67.33%; Jukurit (Visit): 14.83%; Draw: 17.84%. For Jukurit (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.74. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.19%.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -10.45%E -7.86%K -31.67%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV +11.19%E +1.49%K +1.72%G +0.193% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -19.70%E -4.38%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-27 11:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.32%EV -4.39%E -3.09%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 7.35I 13.61%NM 13.20%EV +8.97%E +1.22%K +1.41%G +0.127% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -6.32%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-27 10:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.18%EV -8.43%E -6.20%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 6.94I 14.41%NM 13.56%EV +2.89%E +0.417%K +0.487%G +0.014% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.26%EV -2.75%E -0.504%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-27 15:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.81%EV -5.74%E -4.10%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -3.63%E -0.559%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.58%EV -3.64%E -0.674%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-27 13:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.78%EV -3.72%E -2.60%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.51%EV -7.34%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.71%EV +3.50%E +0.603%K +0.728%G +0.025% | 3.2% | 2026-02-27 16:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.78%EV -3.72%E -2.60%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.51%EV -7.34%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.71%EV +3.50%E +0.603%K +0.728%G +0.025% | 3.2% | 2026-02-27 16:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.78%EV -3.72%E -2.60%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.51%EV -7.34%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.71%EV +3.50%E +0.603%K +0.728%G +0.025% | 3.2% | 2026-02-27 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.90%EV -7.08%E -5.13%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.36%EV -9.56%E -1.57%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -0.072%E -0.013%K -0.016%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 16:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.90%EV -7.08%E -5.13%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.36%EV -9.56%E -1.57%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -0.072%E -0.013%K -0.016%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 16:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.90%EV -7.08%E -5.13%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.36%EV -9.56%E -1.57%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -0.072%E -0.013%K -0.016%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 16:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.90%EV -7.08%E -5.13%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.36%EV -9.56%E -1.57%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -0.072%E -0.013%K -0.016%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 16:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.24%EV -6.41%E -4.61%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -11.04%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -10.78%E -2.16%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 11:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.01%EV -9.10%E -6.74%K -26.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -11.04%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -1.86%E -0.338%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 11:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.01%EV -9.10%E -6.74%K -26.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -11.04%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -1.86%E -0.338%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 16:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.89%EV -9.10%E -6.74%K -26.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.05%EV -11.04%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -10.78%E -2.16%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-27 13:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 65.49%EV -11.12%E -8.43%K -34.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.72%EV -18.46%E -3.36%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.79%EV -17.92%E -3.89%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-02-27 13:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 64.28%EV -10.45%E -7.86%K -31.67%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.29%EV -22.16%E -4.22%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.43%EV -21.49%E -4.88%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-02-27 16:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33% | 4.1% | 2026-02-27 10:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 14:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22% | 5.0% | 2026-02-27 16:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22% | 5.0% | 2026-02-27 16:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22% | 5.0% | 2026-02-27 16:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 11:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 11:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51% | 5.8% | 2026-02-27 13:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51% | 5.8% | 2026-02-27 14:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51% | 5.8% | 2026-02-27 13:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51% | 5.8% | 2026-02-27 13:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.35% | 6.0% | 2026-02-27 13:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29% | 6.8% | 2026-02-27 14:18 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37% | 7.0% | 2026-02-27 14:23 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42% | 7.8% | 2026-02-27 13:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42% | 7.8% | 2026-02-27 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42% | 7.8% | 2026-02-27 13:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42% | 7.8% | 2026-02-27 13:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 13:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39% | 8.7% | 2026-02-27 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.21% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79% | 9.3% | 2026-02-27 16:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.65% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35% | 11.5% | 2026-02-27 16:15 |