The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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HIFK v Jukurit

2026-09-16 15:30 UTC — Liiga

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

HIFK (Local)

Prediction 71.22%1.40fair odd
EV -1.01%
Edge -0.726%
Kelly -2.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.04%70.95%71.27%72.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.331.331.3976.92%75.19%75.19%71.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jukurit (Visit)

Prediction 28.78%3.47fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -0.628%
Kelly -0.890%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.97%29.05%28.73%30.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.283.303.4032.26%30.50%30.30%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: HIFK (Local): 71.22%; Jukurit (Visit): 28.78%. For HIFK (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.40. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.39, with an expected value of -1.01%; they do not produce positive expected value.

15 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -1.01%E -0.726%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -10.77%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 12:35
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.57%E -3.41%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.14%E -0.628%K -0.890%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 11:19
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.01%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 11:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.01%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 11:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.01%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 11:15
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.89%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 11:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.77%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 11:15
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.99%E -4.54%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.14%E -0.628%K -0.890%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 11:20
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.99%E -4.54%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.57%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 11:15
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.99%E -4.54%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.57%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 11:15
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.99%E -4.54%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.57%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 11:15
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.42%E -5.71%K -24.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.89%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-15 11:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.31I 76.34%NM 69.18%2.94I 34.01%NM 30.82%10.3%2026-09-15 11:15

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (15)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.29%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.29%3.7%2026-09-15 11:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.29%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.29%3.7%2026-09-15 11:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.29%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.29%3.7%2026-09-15 11:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%6.0%2026-09-15 11:15
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%6.2%2026-09-15 11:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%6.2%2026-09-15 11:15
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%6.2%2026-09-15 11:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%6.2%2026-09-15 11:15
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.13%4.94I 20.24%NM 19.06%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%6.2%2026-09-15 14:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.20%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%9.0%2026-09-15 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.52%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.03%11.0%2026-09-15 11:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.41%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.68%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.92%11.2%2026-09-15 11:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%12.9%2026-09-15 11:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.60%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.07%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.33%15.7%2026-09-15 11:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 57.17%3.80I 26.32%NM 21.96%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.87%19.8%2026-09-15 11:15