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Ässät v Sport
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ässät (Local)
Prediction 70.00%1.43fair odd
EV -4.10%
Edge -2.99%
Kelly -11.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.60%70.10%70.00%71.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.321.321.3778.13%75.79%75.76%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sport (Visit)
Prediction 13.17%7.60fair odd
EV +9.93%
Edge +1.19%
Kelly +1.35%
Growth +0.134%
assuming max odds 8.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.19%12.99%13.17%14.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.807.007.008.3517.24%14.29%14.29%11.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 16.83%5.94fair odd
EV +5.21%
Edge +0.833%
Kelly +0.992%
Growth +0.052%
assuming max odds 6.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.55%16.90%16.83%18.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.605.786.2522.22%17.87%17.32%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ässät (Local): 70.00%; Sport (Visit): 13.17%; Draw: 16.83%. For Sport (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.60. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.93%.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.82%EV -5.50%E -4.07%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 8.35I 11.98%NM 11.61%EV +9.93%E +1.19%K +1.35%G +0.134% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.57%EV -1.53%E -0.261%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-21 10:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.96%EV -10.40%E -8.12%K -37.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.19%EV +5.32%E +0.665%K +0.760%G +0.040% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.85%EV -20.04%E -4.22%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-21 12:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.26%EV -7.60%E -5.76%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.38%EV +0.057%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -3.21%E -0.558%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.48%EV -4.80%E -3.53%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.96%EV -1.26%E -0.168%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55%EV +5.21%E +0.833%K +0.992%G +0.052% | 2.9% | 2026-02-21 10:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.48%EV -4.80%E -3.53%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.96%EV -1.26%E -0.168%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55%EV +5.21%E +0.833%K +0.992%G +0.052% | 2.9% | 2026-02-21 10:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.48%EV -4.80%E -3.53%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.96%EV -1.26%E -0.168%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55%EV +5.21%E +0.833%K +0.992%G +0.052% | 2.9% | 2026-02-21 10:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.58%EV -9.00%E -6.92%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.74%EV -5.21%E -0.724%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -7.42%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.43%EV -4.10%E -2.99%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -7.84%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.98%EV -5.73%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.99%EV -7.60%E -5.76%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -7.84%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV +0.999%E +0.167%K +0.200%G +0.002% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 10:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.99%EV -7.60%E -5.76%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -7.84%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV +0.999%E +0.167%K +0.200%G +0.002% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 10:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.99%EV -7.60%E -5.76%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -7.84%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV +0.999%E +0.167%K +0.200%G +0.002% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 10:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.99%EV -7.60%E -5.76%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -7.84%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV +0.999%E +0.167%K +0.200%G +0.002% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 10:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.25%EV -10.40%E -8.12%K -37.14%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -7.84%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -2.37%E -0.408%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 10:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.59%EV -6.90%E -5.19%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -14.43%E -2.22%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -11.63%E -2.21%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 68.86%EV -8.30%E -6.33%K -26.77%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.43%EV -17.72%E -2.83%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.71%EV -9.10%E -1.69%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 66.97%EV -9.70%E -7.52%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.64%EV -22.32%E -3.78%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.38%EV -20.88%E -4.44%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 66.60%EV -10.40%E -8.12%K -37.14%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.45%EV -22.32%E -3.78%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.95%EV -24.25%E -5.39%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-02-21 14:43 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 67.48%EV -10.40%E -8.12%K -37.14%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 14.89%EV -23.64%E -4.08%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.63%EV -17.52%E -3.57%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 11:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.20% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.80% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 10:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 11:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 10:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.10% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 18.90% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 09:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 13:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 13:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 80.73% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.27% | 18.0% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |