The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Ässät v Kiekko-Espoo

Kickoff: 2026-03-26 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ässät (Local)

Prediction 46.17%2.17fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -0.779%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.24%46.21%46.18%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.032.022.1351.28%49.19%49.50%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kiekko-Espoo (Visit)

Prediction 53.83%1.86fair odd
EV -3.10%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -3.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%53.79%53.82%54.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.771.771.8057.80%56.36%56.34%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ässät (Local): 46.17%; Kiekko-Espoo (Visit): 53.83%. For Ässät (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.13, with an expected value of -1.66%; they did not produce positive expected value.

18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -1.66%E -0.779%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -5.26%E -2.99%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-25 11:50
Betsson🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -1.66%E -0.779%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -5.26%E -2.99%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-25 11:49
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.04%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.72%E -2.67%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 10:09
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -3.51%E -1.68%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -5.80%E -3.31%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 16:20
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.10%E -1.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 15:40
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.64%E -2.04%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 12:19
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.81%E -2.85%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.18%E -2.35%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 12:19
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.81%E -2.85%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.18%E -2.35%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 12:19
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.10%E -1.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-25 00:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.10%E -1.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-25 00:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.10%E -1.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-25 00:49
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.10%E -1.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-25 00:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.72%E -2.67%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 05:54
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.87%E -3.97%K -9.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-25 00:58
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.49%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.80%E -3.31%K -7.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-25 08:04
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.49%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.80%E -3.31%K -7.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-25 08:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%6.4%2026-03-26 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%6.4%2026-03-26 16:25
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%7.5%2026-03-26 16:20

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (18)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.39%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.00%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.62%2.9%2026-03-25 11:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.34%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.79%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%3.4%2026-03-26 12:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.34%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.79%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%3.4%2026-03-26 12:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.34%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.79%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%3.4%2026-03-26 12:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.56%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.44%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%5.2%2026-03-26 05:14
1xBet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.33%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.43%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.24%6.3%2026-03-26 16:20
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%6.8%2026-03-26 12:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%6.8%2026-03-26 12:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%6.8%2026-03-26 12:19
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%6.8%2026-03-26 12:20
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%9.3%2026-03-26 11:59
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%9.6%2026-03-26 05:13
Everygame🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.23%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%10.5%2026-03-26 13:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%10.6%2026-03-26 05:14
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.63%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.10%15.5%2026-03-26 16:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.63%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.10%15.5%2026-03-26 16:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.00%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.16%16.6%2026-03-26 05:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 34.51%2.13I 46.95%NM 40.18%3.38I 29.59%NM 25.32%16.9%2026-03-26 16:05