The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Ässät v Kiekko-Espoo

Kickoff: 2026-03-10 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ässät (Local)

Prediction 51.67%1.94fair odd
EV +0.763%
Edge +0.391%
Kelly +0.803%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%51.75%51.32%54.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.791.781.9557.80%55.87%56.18%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kiekko-Espoo (Visit)

Prediction 48.33%2.07fair odd
EV +1.49%
Edge +0.708%
Kelly +1.35%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.17%48.25%48.68%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.992.002.1053.48%50.14%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ässät (Local): 51.67%; Kiekko-Espoo (Visit): 48.33%. For Kiekko-Espoo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.07. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.49%.

18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -10.60%E -6.13%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +1.49%E +0.708%K +1.35%G +0.020%5.4%2026-03-10 16:24
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -10.60%E -6.13%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +1.49%E +0.708%K +1.35%G +0.020%5.4%2026-03-10 16:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -10.60%E -6.13%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +1.49%E +0.708%K +1.35%G +0.020%5.4%2026-03-10 16:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -10.60%E -6.13%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +1.49%E +0.708%K +1.35%G +0.020%5.4%2026-03-10 16:25
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -8.02%E -4.51%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -1.41%E -0.693%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 15:15
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -8.02%E -4.51%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -1.41%E -0.693%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 15:13
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.60%E -6.13%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.35%E -1.67%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 14:00
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.60%E -6.13%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.35%E -1.67%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.60%E -6.13%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.35%E -1.67%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.60%E -6.13%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.35%E -1.67%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 14:00
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.37%E -1.80%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.76%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 15:15
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.44%E -2.97%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.76%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 15:25
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.44%E -2.97%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.76%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 15:25
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.44%E -2.97%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.76%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 15:25
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.85%E -1.52%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.73%E -3.49%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 15:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.44%E -2.97%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 15:15
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.99%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-10 15:15
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV +0.763%E +0.391%K +0.803%G +0.006%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -9.63%E -5.15%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 15:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-03-10 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-03-10 16:25
Smarkets◎1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%4.8%2026-03-10 16:15

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (18)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.82%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.62%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.57%3.1%2026-03-10 15:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.82%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.62%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.57%3.1%2026-03-10 15:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.82%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.62%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.57%3.1%2026-03-10 15:25
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.29%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.86%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.85%3.2%2026-03-09 07:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.83%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70%5.5%2026-03-10 15:15
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.70%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%6.3%2026-03-10 15:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.70%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%6.3%2026-03-10 15:25
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.70%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%6.3%2026-03-10 15:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.70%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%6.3%2026-03-10 15:25
1xBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.73%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.48%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.79%6.7%2026-03-10 16:20
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%8.3%2026-03-10 15:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%8.7%2026-03-10 15:20
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%9.2%2026-03-10 15:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.13%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%11.1%2026-03-10 15:15
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%12.0%2026-03-10 16:19
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.59%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.95%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.46%15.2%2026-03-10 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.37%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.55%16.3%2026-03-10 15:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.79%2.33I 42.92%NM 36.62%3.47I 28.82%NM 24.59%17.2%2026-03-10 16:03