The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Ässät v HIFK

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ässät (Local)

Prediction 55.84%1.79fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -3.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%55.84%55.87%56.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.701.681.7459.88%58.99%59.52%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

HIFK (Visit)

Prediction 44.16%2.26fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -2.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.19%44.16%44.13%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.132.102.2147.62%46.86%47.62%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ässät (Local): 55.84%; HIFK (Visit): 44.16%. For HIFK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.21, with an expected value of -2.42%; they did not produce positive expected value.

17 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.83%E -1.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.07%E -2.36%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 07:49
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.83%E -1.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.51%E -2.57%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 14:50
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.39%E -1.96%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 22:14
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.39%E -1.96%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 21:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.39%E -1.96%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 22:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.39%E -1.96%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 22:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.51%E -2.64%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-27 22:44
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -6.18%E -3.68%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -2.42%E -1.09%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 14:01
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.18%E -3.68%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.74%E -1.72%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 13:00
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.18%E -3.68%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.74%E -1.72%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 13:00
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.18%E -3.68%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.74%E -1.72%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 13:00
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.18%E -3.68%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.74%E -1.72%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 10:44
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.18%E -3.68%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.74%E -1.72%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 10:45
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.07%E -2.36%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 13:35
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 22:43
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 07:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 07:44
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 07:49
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 07:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%4.6%2026-02-28 14:50

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (17)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.12%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%3.0%2026-02-28 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%3.0%2026-02-28 13:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%3.0%2026-02-28 13:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%3.0%2026-02-28 13:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.32%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.86%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%4.9%2026-02-28 05:30
1xBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.65%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.37%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%6.1%2026-02-28 14:45
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.34%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%6.4%2026-02-28 13:00
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.34%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%6.4%2026-02-28 13:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.34%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%6.4%2026-02-28 13:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.34%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%6.4%2026-02-28 13:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.77%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%8.8%2026-02-28 06:54
LeoVegas🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.44%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.79%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%9.2%2026-02-28 13:00
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%10.6%2026-02-28 05:29
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.62%11.3%2026-02-28 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.77%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.23%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%11.5%2026-02-28 05:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.29%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.40%15.5%2026-02-28 05:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 44.47%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.07%17.1%2026-02-28 14:34