语言:简体中文
W-B/Scranton Penguins v Toronto Marlies
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
W-B/Scranton Penguins (主队)
预测 45.33%2.21公平赔率
EV +1.08%
优势 +0.483%
Kelly +0.876%
增长率 +0.009%
假设最高赔率为 2.23
博彩公司预测分布
42.88%45.33%45.42%46.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.902.002.002.2352.63%49.98%50.00%44.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
Toronto Marlies (客队)
预测 31.89%3.14公平赔率
EV -3.69%
优势 -1.22%
Kelly -1.83%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.02
博彩公司预测分布
30.98%31.89%31.87%33.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.652.912.953.0237.74%34.41%33.90%33.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 22.78%4.39公平赔率
EV -4.30%
优势 -1.02%
Kelly -1.35%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.20
博彩公司预测分布
22.05%22.78%22.71%23.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.804.094.124.2026.32%24.47%24.30%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：W-B/Scranton Penguins (主队)：45.33%；Toronto Marlies (客队)：31.89%；平局：22.78%。 对于“W-B/Scranton Penguins (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.21。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.23，对应+1.08%的正期望值。
有 10 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (16 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.88%EV +1.08%E +0.483%K +0.876%G +0.009% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.79%EV -9.75%E -3.45%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.32%EV -6.58%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 21:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43%EV -7.53%E -3.69%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.58%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-29 19:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.00%EV -3.69%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.66%EV -5.90%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-29 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.33%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-29 19:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.33%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-29 19:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.33%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-29 19:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.33%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-29 19:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.33%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-29 19:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.33%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-29 19:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.33%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-29 19:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.42%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -9.12%E -3.20%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -8.86%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-29 19:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.66%EV -10.25%E -5.18%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.29%EV -10.71%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -6.58%E -1.61%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-29 19:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.28%EV -10.71%E -5.44%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.85%EV -10.71%E -3.83%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.87%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-29 22:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.13%EV -12.07%E -6.22%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.83%EV -12.30%E -4.47%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.04%EV -13.42%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-29 22:38 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.55%EV -12.52%E -6.49%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -8.86%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-29 19:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 45.24%EV -13.88%E -7.31%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.44%EV -15.49%E -5.85%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.33%EV -12.28%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-05-29 19:49 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (10)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80% | 3.0% | 2026-05-29 22:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 19:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 22:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41% | 7.2% | 2026-05-29 20:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78% | 7.6% | 2026-05-29 19:48 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78% | 7.6% | 2026-05-29 19:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26% | 7.6% | 2026-05-29 21:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09% | 8.5% | 2026-05-29 19:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94% | 8.5% | 2026-05-29 19:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70% | 9.0% | 2026-05-29 22:39 |