The School of Odds
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W-B/Scranton Penguins v Lehigh Valley Phantoms

Kickoff: 2026-03-29 19:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

W-B/Scranton Penguins (Local)

Prediction 43.62%2.29fair odd
EV -4.91%
Edge -2.25%
Kelly -4.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.12%43.62%43.62%44.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.082.122.1852.08%48.08%47.17%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lehigh Valley Phantoms (Visit)

Prediction 32.64%3.06fair odd
EV -5.01%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -2.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.46%32.64%32.64%33.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.782.852.9140.00%36.02%35.09%34.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.74%4.21fair odd
EV -6.24%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.92%23.74%23.74%24.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.813.903.9528.17%26.22%25.64%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: W-B/Scranton Penguins (Local): 43.62%; Lehigh Valley Phantoms (Visit): 32.64%; Draw: 23.74%. For W-B/Scranton Penguins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.18, with an expected value of -4.91%; they did not produce positive expected value.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.33%EV -4.91%E -2.25%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.46%EV -5.01%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -7.42%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 19:45
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -7.52%E -3.55%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.52%EV -6.97%E -2.45%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.42%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-27 19:20
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -7.52%E -3.55%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.52%EV -6.97%E -2.45%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.42%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-27 19:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -7.52%E -3.55%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.52%EV -6.97%E -2.45%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.42%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-27 19:20
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -7.52%E -3.55%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.52%EV -6.97%E -2.45%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.42%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-27 19:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -7.52%E -3.55%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.52%EV -6.97%E -2.45%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.42%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-27 19:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -7.52%E -3.55%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.52%EV -6.97%E -2.45%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.42%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-27 19:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -7.52%E -3.55%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.52%EV -6.97%E -2.45%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.42%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-27 19:20
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.35%EV -7.52%E -3.55%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.47%EV -7.63%E -2.69%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.80%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 19:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.53%EV -9.70%E -4.69%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -10.24%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -9.80%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-27 19:20
LeoVegas🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.65%EV -10.14%E -4.92%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -10.24%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.80%E -2.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-27 19:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -10.58%E -5.16%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%EV -10.24%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.92%EV -6.24%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-27 21:10
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 43.12%EV -13.63%E -6.88%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.84%EV -15.13%E -5.82%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.05%EV -15.73%E -4.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-27 19:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 43.12%EV -13.63%E -6.88%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.84%EV -15.13%E -5.82%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.05%EV -15.73%E -4.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-27 19:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 43.31%EV -16.25%E -8.46%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.26%EV -18.40%E -7.36%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.42%EV -15.73%E -4.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%20.3%2026-03-27 21:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%5.0%2026-03-27 19:20
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%5.3%2026-03-28 03:00
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%7.5%2026-03-28 02:55
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%7.8%2026-03-27 19:20
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%7.8%2026-03-27 19:20
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%8.1%2026-03-27 19:20
Smarkets◎1.63I 61.35%NM 55.59%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.41%10.4%2026-03-27 19:20
Kalshi◎1.06I 94.34%NM 50.47%1.08I 92.59%NM 49.53%86.9%2026-03-28 03:00