The School of Odds
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W-B/Scranton Penguins v Hartford Wolf Pack

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 22:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

W-B/Scranton Penguins (Local)

Prediction 43.09%2.32fair odd
EV -0.897%
Edge -0.390%
Kelly -0.690%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.22%43.52%43.10%45.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.172.162.3050.76%46.15%46.30%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hartford Wolf Pack (Visit)

Prediction 34.36%2.91fair odd
EV -6.89%
Edge -2.54%
Kelly -4.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.18%34.16%34.32%37.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.542.512.7140.82%39.31%39.84%36.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.55%4.43fair odd
EV -3.47%
Edge -0.811%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.33%22.33%22.59%22.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.114.204.2827.03%24.34%23.81%23.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: W-B/Scranton Penguins (Local): 43.09%; Hartford Wolf Pack (Visit): 34.36%; Draw: 22.55%. For W-B/Scranton Penguins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.30, with an expected value of -0.897%; they did not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.22%EV -0.897%E -0.390%K -0.690%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%EV -15.82%E -6.46%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -5.27%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 19:20
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.22%EV -0.897%E -0.390%K -0.690%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%EV -15.82%E -6.46%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -5.27%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 19:20
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.22%EV -0.897%E -0.390%K -0.690%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%EV -15.82%E -6.46%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -5.27%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 19:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.22%EV -0.897%E -0.390%K -0.690%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%EV -15.82%E -6.46%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -5.27%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 19:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.22%EV -0.897%E -0.390%K -0.690%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%EV -15.82%E -6.46%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -5.27%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 19:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.22%EV -0.897%E -0.390%K -0.690%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%EV -15.82%E -6.46%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -5.27%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 19:20
GTbets🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.32%EV -1.76%E -0.771%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.66%EV -11.70%E -4.55%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.01%EV -3.47%E -0.811%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-24 21:55
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.11%EV -6.50%E -2.99%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.52%EV -6.89%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.38%EV -5.73%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 22:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.09%EV -7.36%E -3.42%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -7.23%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.53%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-24 20:35
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.51%E -4.53%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.19%EV -8.95%E -3.38%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 20:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 42.99%EV -9.95%E -4.76%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -10.67%E -4.10%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-24 20:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.88%EV -10.81%E -5.22%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.54%EV -11.70%E -4.55%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.58%EV -11.36%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-24 20:32
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -11.67%E -5.69%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.63%EV -10.67%E -4.10%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -5.27%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-24 20:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.05%EV -13.82%E -6.91%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.15%EV -15.82%E -6.46%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.80%EV -10.91%E -2.76%K -3.70%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-24 20:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 42.55%EV -14.25%E -7.16%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.56%EV -15.82%E -6.46%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.89%EV -16.55%E -4.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%18.1%2026-10-24 21:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.48%EV -15.12%E -7.67%K -15.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.18%EV -7.23%E -2.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -5.27%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-24 20:41
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%3.2%2026-10-24 22:00
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%5.1%2026-10-24 20:35
Bet Right🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%5.3%2026-10-24 21:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%7.5%2026-10-24 20:40
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%7.6%2026-10-24 19:19
Bally Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%7.6%2026-10-24 19:20
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%7.9%2026-10-24 19:20
Smarkets◎1.69I 59.17%NM 54.69%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.31%8.2%2026-10-24 20:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%9.1%2026-10-24 22:00