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W-B/Scranton Penguins v Hamilton Hammers

2026-11-14 23:05 UTC — AHL

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

W-B/Scranton Penguins (Local)

Prediction 42.58%2.35fair odd
EV -7.61%
Edge -3.51%
Kelly -6.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.28%42.65%42.58%42.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.102.112.1751.02%47.55%47.39%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hamilton Hammers (Visit)

Prediction 34.55%2.89fair odd
EV -8.45%
Edge -3.19%
Kelly -5.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.00%34.43%34.55%35.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.592.652.6541.67%38.66%37.74%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.87%4.37fair odd
EV -6.22%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.93%22.91%22.87%23.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.964.004.1027.78%25.27%25.00%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: W-B/Scranton Penguins (Local): 42.58%; Hamilton Hammers (Visit): 34.55%; Draw: 22.87%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.37. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.10, with an expected value of -6.22%; they do not produce positive expected value.

4 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.35%EV -7.61%E -3.51%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -8.45%E -3.19%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.51%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-13 11:35
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.70%EV -8.03%E -3.72%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.80%EV -8.45%E -3.19%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -6.22%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-13 11:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.70%EV -8.03%E -3.72%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.80%EV -8.45%E -3.19%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -6.22%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-13 11:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.70%EV -8.03%E -3.72%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.80%EV -8.45%E -3.19%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -6.22%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-13 11:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.70%EV -8.03%E -3.72%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.80%EV -8.45%E -3.19%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -6.22%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-13 11:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.46%E -3.93%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -8.45%E -3.19%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.51%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-13 11:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 42.63%EV -10.16%E -4.82%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.60%EV -10.17%E -3.91%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.77%EV -9.65%E -2.44%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-13 11:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.90%EV -10.59%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.00%EV -8.45%E -3.19%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -10.79%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-13 11:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.81%EV -10.59%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -11.90%E -4.67%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -6.22%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-13 11:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.51%EV -10.59%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 34.60%EV -10.86%E -4.21%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -10.79%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-13 11:24
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 42.99%EV -13.99%E -6.93%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.74%EV -13.63%E -5.45%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.27%EV -10.79%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%15.1%2026-11-13 11:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 42.28%EV -15.27%E -7.67%K -15.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.34%EV -15.36%E -6.27%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.37%EV -17.66%E -4.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%18.8%2026-11-13 11:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 42.62%EV -16.55%E -8.44%K -17.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.81%EV -17.08%E -7.12%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.58%EV -15.37%E -4.15%K -5.69%G +0.000%19.7%2026-11-13 11:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (4)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%7.5%2026-11-13 11:20
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%7.5%2026-11-13 11:20
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%7.8%2026-11-13 11:20
Kalshi◎1.35I 74.07%NM 59.70%2.00I 50.00%NM 40.30%24.1%2026-11-13 12:25

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