The School of Odds
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Utica Comets v Syracuse Crunch

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 19:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utica Comets (Local)

Prediction 28.70%3.48fair odd
EV -5.57%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -2.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.01%28.57%28.70%30.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.093.053.2934.48%32.39%32.79%30.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Syracuse Crunch (Visit)

Prediction 48.84%2.05fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.665%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.08%49.11%48.84%50.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.911.912.0256.50%52.45%52.36%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.46%4.45fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -0.582%
Kelly -0.757%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.34%22.31%22.46%24.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.983.954.3427.03%25.14%25.32%23.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utica Comets (Local): 28.70%; Syracuse Crunch (Visit): 48.84%; Draw: 22.46%. For Syracuse Crunch (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.02, with an expected value of -1.34%; they did not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.29I 30.40%NM 28.43%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.02%EV -8.67%E -4.64%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.55%EV -2.53%E -0.582%K -0.757%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 18:59
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -6.72%E -3.52%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 18:59
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -6.72%E -3.52%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 18:59
GTbets🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.30%EV -7.58%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.31%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 18:59
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.64%EV -13.55%E -7.66%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.34%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-08 19:00
Codere (IT)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.43%EV -9.16%E -4.92%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-08 19:00
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -12.46%E -4.09%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.73%EV -1.34%E -0.665%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -13.53%E -3.51%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 18:59
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -12.46%E -4.09%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.73%EV -1.34%E -0.665%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -13.53%E -3.51%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 18:59
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -12.46%E -4.09%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.73%EV -1.34%E -0.665%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -13.53%E -3.51%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 18:59
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -12.46%E -4.09%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.73%EV -1.34%E -0.665%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -13.53%E -3.51%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 18:59
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -12.46%E -4.09%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.73%EV -10.14%E -5.51%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -7.92%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-08 18:59
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -13.90%E -4.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.09%EV -11.60%E -6.41%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.90%EV -14.66%E -3.86%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-08 18:59
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -15.33%E -5.20%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -2.32%E -1.16%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -16.90%E -4.57%K -6.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-08 18:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.73%EV -16.77%E -5.78%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 48.44%EV -13.07%E -7.34%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.83%EV -11.29%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-08 18:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.70%EV -16.77%E -5.78%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 47.33%EV -11.11%E -6.11%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.97%EV -15.78%E -4.21%K -5.74%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-08 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-08 19:00
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%4.9%2026-03-08 18:59
Bet Right🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%5.4%2026-03-08 18:59
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%7.3%2026-03-08 18:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%7.6%2026-03-08 18:59
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%8.0%2026-03-08 18:59
Smarkets◎2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%8.0%2026-03-08 19:00
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%9.1%2026-03-08 19:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%9.2%2026-03-08 18:59