The School of Odds
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Utica Comets v Providence Bruins

Kickoff: 2026-04-01 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utica Comets (Local)

Prediction 26.95%3.71fair odd
EV -5.15%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -2.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.56%26.68%26.95%27.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.343.403.5233.33%29.91%29.41%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Providence Bruins (Visit)

Prediction 51.28%1.95fair odd
EV -4.62%
Edge -2.49%
Kelly -5.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.97%51.51%51.28%52.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.791.801.8660.24%55.90%55.56%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.78%4.59fair odd
EV -3.10%
Edge -0.697%
Kelly -0.898%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.98%21.80%21.78%22.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.834.114.104.4526.11%24.34%24.39%22.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utica Comets (Local): 26.95%; Providence Bruins (Visit): 51.28%; Draw: 21.78%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.59. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.45, with an expected value of -3.10%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 26.77%EV -5.15%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.06%EV -7.19%E -3.97%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.17%EV -3.10%E -0.697%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 00:04
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -5.69%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.62%EV -12.83%E -7.55%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.82%EV -10.72%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-01 00:03
Unibet (UK)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -6.16%E -3.37%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -6.37%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 00:04
1xBet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 26.84%EV -7.84%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.57%EV -8.72%E -4.90%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -7.45%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-01 22:30
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.98%EV -4.62%E -2.49%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -10.72%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-01 20:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -10.72%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-01 19:59
Casumo🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -10.72%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-01 19:59
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -10.72%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-01 20:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -10.72%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-01 20:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -10.72%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-01 19:59
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.38%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.49%EV -9.24%E -5.22%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-01 03:10
LeoVegas🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -11.08%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.97%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.77%EV -13.99%E -3.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-01 20:00
Codere (IT)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -11.08%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.81%EV -9.24%E -5.22%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -10.72%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-01 00:05
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.26%EV -9.75%E -5.54%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.98%EV -6.37%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.17%EV -13.77%E -4.30%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 50.54%EV -11.80%E -6.86%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.29%EV -15.08%E -3.87%K -5.20%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-01 22:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 27.53%EV -16.47%E -5.31%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 50.19%EV -12.83%E -7.55%K -18.32%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 22.28%EV -16.60%E -4.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-01 22:37
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 27.88%EV -19.16%E -6.39%K -9.58%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 50.39%EV -14.88%E -8.96%K -22.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.73%EV -16.16%E -4.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%19.5%2026-04-01 00:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-04-01 22:40
Bet Right🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%5.0%2026-04-01 22:24
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%5.4%2026-04-01 00:05
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%6.7%2026-04-01 00:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%6.7%2026-04-01 11:30
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%7.8%2026-04-01 00:05
Bally Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%7.8%2026-04-01 00:04
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 37.91%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%8.1%2026-04-01 11:05
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%8.3%2026-04-01 00:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%9.0%2026-04-01 00:04