The School of Odds
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Utica Comets v Providence Bruins

Kickoff: 2026-04-17 23:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utica Comets (Local)

Prediction 27.31%3.66fair odd
EV -0.324%
Edge -0.089%
Kelly -0.122%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.38%27.31%27.73%27.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.363.443.6533.33%29.75%29.07%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Providence Bruins (Visit)

Prediction 50.90%1.96fair odd
EV -4.31%
Edge -2.29%
Kelly -4.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.77%50.90%50.47%52.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.811.801.8858.82%55.23%55.56%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.79%4.59fair odd
EV -8.47%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -2.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.62%21.79%21.80%23.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.964.004.2027.78%25.25%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utica Comets (Local): 27.31%; Providence Bruins (Visit): 50.90%; Draw: 21.79%. For Utica Comets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.66. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.65, with an expected value of -0.324%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -0.324%E -0.089%K -0.122%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.03%EV -9.40%E -5.28%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -10.65%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 22:50
GTbets🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 26.48%EV -2.78%E -0.781%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.14%EV -4.31%E -2.29%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.39%EV -12.18%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 22:50
Casumo🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.76%EV -4.82%E -2.58%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -12.83%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 22:50
Grosvenor🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.76%EV -4.82%E -2.58%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -12.83%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 22:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.76%EV -4.82%E -2.58%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -12.83%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 22:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.76%EV -4.82%E -2.58%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -12.83%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 22:50
PMU (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.76%EV -4.82%E -2.58%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -12.83%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 22:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.76%EV -4.82%E -2.58%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -12.83%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 22:50
1xBet🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 26.51%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.11%EV -7.36%E -4.05%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -15.01%E -3.85%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 22:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.94%EV -12.45%E -7.24%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -10.65%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 18:38
LeoVegas🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -8.52%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.88%EV -8.38%E -4.66%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -16.10%E -4.18%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-17 22:45
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -11.25%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -8.38%E -4.66%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -8.47%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 23:05
Codere (IT)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -11.25%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -8.89%E -4.97%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -10.65%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-17 03:59
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.25%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -8.38%E -4.66%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.83%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 22:45
Betclic (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.01%EV -12.61%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 50.25%EV -12.45%E -7.24%K -17.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.74%EV -17.19%E -4.52%K -6.14%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-17 23:04
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 27.53%EV -15.34%E -4.95%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 48.77%EV -10.93%E -6.24%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -21.55%E -5.99%K -8.29%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-17 22:45
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 27.88%EV -18.07%E -6.02%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 49.20%EV -13.47%E -7.92%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 22.92%EV -20.46%E -5.61%K -7.72%G +0.000%19.6%2026-04-17 22:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%5.4%2026-04-17 22:45
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%5.8%2026-04-17 22:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%6.7%2026-04-16 23:09
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%7.4%2026-04-17 22:50
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%7.5%2026-04-17 22:45
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%7.5%2026-04-17 22:45
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.99%8.3%2026-04-17 22:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%9.2%2026-04-16 23:10
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 38.74%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.26%10.3%2026-04-17 22:45
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 36.36%1.08I 92.59%NM 63.64%45.5%2026-04-17 22:50