The School of Odds
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Utica Comets v Belleville Senators

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 22:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utica Comets (Local)

Prediction 42.49%2.35fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -2.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.77%42.94%42.49%44.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.202.212.2950.00%45.55%45.25%43.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Belleville Senators (Visit)

Prediction 35.89%2.79fair odd
EV -4.89%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -2.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.83%35.42%35.89%37.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.572.612.6541.67%38.93%38.31%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.62%4.63fair odd
EV -5.95%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -1.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.35%21.64%21.62%24.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.983.854.3526.67%25.11%25.97%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utica Comets (Local): 42.49%; Belleville Senators (Visit): 35.89%; Draw: 21.62%. For Utica Comets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.35. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.29, with an expected value of -2.70%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.86%EV -2.70%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.13%EV -9.56%E -3.79%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.01%EV -8.11%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 09:10
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.77%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -4.89%E -1.85%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -16.76%E -4.35%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 21:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.77%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -4.89%E -1.85%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -16.76%E -4.35%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 21:59
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.77%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -4.89%E -1.85%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -16.76%E -4.35%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 21:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.77%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -4.89%E -1.85%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -16.76%E -4.35%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 22:00
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.77%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -4.89%E -1.85%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -16.76%E -4.35%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 21:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.77%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -4.89%E -1.85%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -16.76%E -4.35%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 21:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.77%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -4.89%E -1.85%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -16.76%E -4.35%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 21:44
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.16%EV -5.67%E -2.55%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.72%EV -5.97%E -2.28%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.12%EV -8.55%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 21:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.52%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -5.95%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 22:04
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.83%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -8.48%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -18.92%E -5.05%K -6.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-04 21:44
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.80%EV -8.48%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.20%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 22:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.94%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.07%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -11.36%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-04 17:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.74%EV -10.77%E -5.13%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.20%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.43%EV -10.77%E -5.13%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.25%EV -13.87%E -5.78%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.31%EV -15.68%E -4.02%K -5.41%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-04 21:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.07%EV -10.77%E -5.13%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.93%EV -13.87%E -5.78%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.00%EV -18.92%E -5.05%K -6.88%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-04 22:03
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.78%EV -12.89%E -6.29%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.68%EV -13.87%E -5.78%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.54%EV -17.84%E -4.70%K -6.37%G +0.000%16.8%2026-04-04 22:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -15.02%E -7.51%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.83%EV -4.89%E -1.85%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -9.20%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 19:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%5.3%2026-04-04 22:04
Bet Right🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%5.3%2026-04-04 21:49
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%7.5%2026-04-04 21:44
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%7.5%2026-04-04 21:44
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%7.6%2026-04-04 22:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%8.1%2026-04-04 21:20
Smarkets◎1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%8.2%2026-04-04 17:40
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%8.6%2026-04-04 21:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%9.1%2026-04-04 21:24
Kalshi◎1.28I 78.13%NM 55.40%1.59I 62.89%NM 44.60%41.0%2026-04-04 22:04